Bawler's pick
3 legs, built by our modelOH Leuven on top, and Robin Mirisola getting plenty of shots away.
OH Leuven v KV Kortrijk prediction
Our model makes OH Leuven favourites for this Belgian Pro League game, giving them a 54% chance of winning. KV Kortrijk are 21% and the draw is 25%. Our predicted score is OH Leuven 1–0 KV Kortrijk, the likeliest OH Leuven win score (11%). We expect 2.8 goals in total: 1.8 for OH Leuven and 1.0 for KV Kortrijk. Both teams scoring is 54% and three or more goals is 53%.
Of their last five meetings on our records, OH Leuven have won one, KV Kortrijk two, and two were drawn. When they last met, it finished Kortrijk 2–0 OH Leuven, in Mar 2025. On form, OH Leuven have four wins, two draws and no defeats from their last six games, and KV Kortrijk have one win, one draw and four defeats.
On shots, our forecast is 17.4 for OH Leuven and 10.7 for KV Kortrijk, with 5.1 and 3.6 on target, and corners at 5.7 to 4.6. So we expect OH Leuven to do more of the shooting. Bawler's pick combines OH Leuven or Draw, OH Leuven Over 12.5 Shots and Robin Mirisola 2+ Shots. We make the chance of all three coming in 56%, a fair price of 4/5 (1.79).
Written from the numbers on this page. These are forecasts, not certainties. 18+ Please gamble responsibly. BeGambleAware.org
Players to watch
Numbers are if they start — lineups land about an hour before kickoff.
Most booked
Games per booking, from their latest season — a record, not a forecastWhat we expect from each side
The grey number is their average over the last six.
More chances
OH Leuven · last 6
KV Kortrijk · last 6
League position
Head to head
First half — what we expect
First-half chances
How likely each side is to reach these totals before half-time.
Second half — who scores?
At half-time we update each side’s chance of scoring in the second half from what the first half showed.
What would change the call
OH Leuven or draw is 79% now. Here is what it would become at half-time:
Based on the half-time score alone — team news is not included.
Player forecasts
Shots we expect from each player if they start — lineups land about an hour before kickoff. From 2025/26–2026/27, all club matches.
1 in 3 = booked about once every three games last time out — a record, not a forecast. Players with fewer minutes are pulled toward the league average, so a small sample never reads as a certainty.
Around this fixture
Jupiler Pro League table →Common questions
Who will win OH Leuven vs KV Kortrijk?
Bawler's model rates this match: OH Leuven are favoured (54% win probability vs 21% for KV Kortrijk, 25% draw). The model uses each side’s expected goals, recent form and the strength of the opposition.
What is the predicted score for OH Leuven vs KV Kortrijk?
Bawler's predicted score is OH Leuven 1-0 KV Kortrijk: the most likely score if OH Leuven win, which is the likeliest result (54%). Our model puts that exact score at 10.5%. Expected total goals: 2.8.
How does Bawler predict OH Leuven vs KV Kortrijk?
Bawler estimates each side's expected goals from its results and the quality of its chances, adjusted for the strength of the opposition and for home advantage, then works out the chance of every scoreline to get win, draw and both-teams-to-score probabilities. Team news and lineups are not built into these numbers. For this match that gives OH Leuven 54%, the draw 25% and KV Kortrijk 21%. Every prediction is published before kickoff and settled afterwards.
Will both teams score in OH Leuven vs KV Kortrijk?
Probably — Bawler's model gives both teams scoring a 54% chance. That is based on OH Leuven expecting 1.78 goals and KV Kortrijk 1.04.
Over or under 2.5 goals in OH Leuven vs KV Kortrijk?
Bawler's model expects 2.8 goals in total. It leans slightly towards three or more goals: over 2.5 goals is 53%.
When are the OH Leuven v KV Kortrijk line-ups announced?
Clubs usually name their line-ups about an hour before kickoff.
What is Bawler's pick for OH Leuven v KV Kortrijk?
OH Leuven or Draw (79%), OH Leuven Over 12.5 Shots (82%), Robin Mirisola 2+ Shots (79%). Our model gives all 3 landing together a 56% chance, a fair price of 4/5 (1.79). 18+, please gamble responsibly.