ML Vitebsk vs Borac Banja Luka prediction — Conference League - Qualification · Thu 13 Aug · 18:00 UK

Conference League - Qualification · Thu 13 Aug · 18:00 UK
ML Vitebsk 40Draw 28Borac Banja Luka 32
The call
68%
ML Vitebsk or draw
2.5
Goals expected
Full time
Final 2–2

How it finished

ML Vitebsk and Borac Banja Luka drew 2–2. Bawler's model favoured ML Vitebsk at 40% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 28%. It forecast 2.5 goals; the match produced 4. ML Vitebsk had 18 shots (7 on target) to Borac Banja Luka's 14 (4), with 53% of the ball against 47%.

ML VitebskFull-time statsBorac Banja…
53%Possession47%
18Shots14
7Shots on target4
4Corners4
25Fouls24
0Offsides2
2Yellow cards4
What we publishedBeforeAfter
ResultML Vitebsk 40%Draw (28% called)
Total goals2.54
Both teams to score50%Yes
Model callML Vitebsk or Draw 68%Landed
Second callOver 2.5 Goals 52%Landed

Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.

What we expected

MarketProbability
Under 3.5 goals76%
ML Vitebsk to score74%
Over 1.5 goals71%
Borac Banja Luka to score69%

Model inputs

Expected goals gap (xG)+0.2 / match
Opponent strength indexTop quartile
Full-time recap →
Settles publicly at full time · Bitcoin-anchored · verify →

Common questions

Who won ML Vitebsk vs Borac Banja Luka?

ML Vitebsk and Borac Banja Luka drew 2–2. Bawler's model favoured ML Vitebsk at 40% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 28%. It forecast 2.5 goals; the match produced 4. ML Vitebsk had 18 shots (7 on target) to Borac Banja Luka's 14 (4), with 53% of the ball against 47%.

What was the final score in ML Vitebsk vs Borac Banja Luka?

ML Vitebsk 2–2 Borac Banja Luka, played on 13 Aug 2026 in the EUROPE: Conference League - Qualification. Bawler's model had gone into it with ML Vitebsk 40%, the draw 28% and Borac Banja Luka 32%.

What were the stats in ML Vitebsk vs Borac Banja Luka?

Full-time: Possession 53%–47%, Shots 18–14, Shots on target 7–4, Corners 4–4, Fouls 25–24, Offsides 0–2, Yellow cards 2–4.

Did both teams score in ML Vitebsk vs Borac Banja Luka?

Yes — both ML Vitebsk and Borac Banja Luka scored, finishing 2–2. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 50% before kickoff.

Was Bawler's prediction for ML Vitebsk vs Borac Banja Luka right?

Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Result — we said ML Vitebsk 40%, it finished Draw (28% called); Total goals — we said 2.5, it finished 4; Both teams to score — we said 50%, it finished Yes; Model call — we said ML Vitebsk or Draw 68%, it finished Landed; Second call — we said Over 2.5 Goals 52%, it finished Landed.

Around this fixture

ML Vitebsk
Before this
6 AugABorac Banja Luka0–1 L
All fixtures & results →ML Vitebsk form →Borac Banja Luka form →