FT · EUROPE: Conference League - Qualification · Thursday, 13 August 2026

ML Vitebsk 22 Borac Banja LukaMatch recap & Bawler model verdict · Thursday, 13 August 2026

> 🧠 Model verdict
✗ Result against the lean

Pre-match, Bawler had ML Vitebsk at 40%, draw at 28%, Borac Banja Luka at 32%. Against expectation, the match finished 2-2. The model's headline call was ML Vitebsk to win.

> Pre-match probability vs result
Vitebsk win
40%
Draw
28%
Actual ✓
Luka win
32%
> 🧾 What the model called · and how it landed
High confidence
ML Vitebsk or Draw
Pre-match: 68%
✓ Won
Medium confidence
Over 2.5 Goals
Pre-match: 52%
✓ Won
Outside shot
Draw
Pre-match: 28%
✓ Won

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