Pre-match, Bawler had Vikingur Reykjavik at 50%, draw at 25%, Borac Banja Luka at 25%. Against expectation, the match finished 1-3. The model's headline call was Vikingur Reykjavik to win.
Match overperformed xG by 1.2 goals. Above-expectation scoring — could be finishing, set-piece luck, or genuine attacking quality the model under-rated.