Mexico vs Chile prediction — International friendlies · Wed 7 Oct · 03:30 UK · Neutral venue

International friendlies · Wed 7 Oct · 03:30 UK · Neutral venue
70Mexico win19Draw10Chile win
Full time
0–2

How it finished

Chile beat Mexico 2–0. Mexico had 15 shots (3 on target) to Chile's 9 (4), with 64% of the ball against 36%. Expected goals finished 0.6 to 1.2.

MexicoFull-time statsChile
64%Possession36%
0.6Expected goals (xG)1.2
15Shots9
3Shots on target4
6Shots inside box8
0Big chances2
6Corners2
2Saves3
9Fouls10
2Offsides1
2Yellow cards1
We predicted
2–0
Mexico to win · 13% for this exact score
Expected goals
2.2v0.7
2.9 in total
Both teams score
45%
Leans no
3+ goals
55%
Leans likely

What we expected from each side

The grey number is their average over the last six.

MexicoMexicoChileChile
2.2Goals0.7
MexicoMexicoChileChile
1.0Goals0.3
MexicoMexicoChileChile
1.2Goals0.4

Shots and corners are not shown for this match — one of these national teams has too few recorded games for us to forecast them.

What we said the chances were

Mexico to score89%
2 or more goals78%
Goal before half-time72%
3 goals or fewer67%

First half — what we expected

Mexico
62%
to score before half-time
Chile
27%
to score before half-time

Shots and corners are not shown for international matches yet — national teams play too few games for us to forecast them well.

Head to head

Dec 2021Chile 2–2 Mexico
Mar 2019Mexico 3–1 Chile
Oct 2018Mexico 0–1 Chile
Jun 2016Mexico 0–7 Chile
Jun 2016Mexico 1–0 Chile
Full-time recap →
Every Bawler's pick is logged before kickoff · Bawler's pick record →

Around this fixture

All fixtures & results →Mexico form →Chile form →

Common questions

Who won Mexico vs Chile?

Chile beat Mexico 2–0. Mexico had 15 shots (3 on target) to Chile's 9 (4), with 64% of the ball against 36%. Expected goals finished 0.6 to 1.2.

What was the final score in Mexico vs Chile?

Mexico 0–2 Chile, played on 07 Oct 2026 in the World: International Friendly. Bawler's model had gone into it with Mexico 70%, the draw 19% and Chile 10%.

What were the stats in Mexico vs Chile?

Full-time: Possession 64%–36%, Expected goals (xG) 0.6–1.2, Shots 15–9, Shots on target 3–4, Shots inside box 6–8, Big chances 0–2, Corners 6–2, Saves 2–3, Fouls 9–10, Offsides 2–1, Yellow cards 2–1.

Did both teams score in Mexico vs Chile?

No. It finished 0–2, so Mexico failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 45% before kickoff.