Maldives vs Lebanon prediction — International friendlies · Thu 1 Oct · 19:00 UK · Neutral venue

International friendlies · Thu 1 Oct · 19:00 UK · Neutral venue
7Maldives win17Draw75Lebanon win
Our call before kickoff
75%
Lebanon to win
Landed
Full time
Final 0–6

How it finished

Lebanon beat Maldives 6–0. Bawler's model had Lebanon in front at 75% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.8 goals; the match produced 6. Maldives had 2 shots (1 on target) to Lebanon's 14 (10), with 25% of the ball against 75%.

MaldivesFull-time statsLebanon
25%Possession75%
2Shots14
1Shots on target10
2Corners3
5Fouls14
0Offsides4
0Yellow cards1
1Red cards0
What we publishedBeforeAfter
Our callLebanon to win 75%Lebanon won (75% called)
Total goals2.86
Both teams to score39%No
Second pickOver 2.5 goals 53%Landed

Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.

We expected
0–2
15% — the single most likely result
Expected goals
0.6v2.2
2.8 in total
Both teams score
39%
No
3+ goals
53%
Leans likely

What we expected from each side

The grey number is their average over the last six.

MaldivesMaldivesLebanonLebanon
0.6Goals2.2
MaldivesMaldivesLebanonLebanon
0.3Goals1.0
MaldivesMaldivesLebanonLebanon
0.3Goals1.3

Shots and corners are not shown for this match — one of these national teams has too few recorded games for us to forecast them.

What we said the chances were

Lebanon to score89%
2 or more goals77%
Goal before half-time71%
3 goals or fewer69%

First half — what we expected

Maldives
22%
to score before half-time
Lebanon
63%
to score before half-time

Shots and corners are not shown for international matches yet — national teams play too few games for us to forecast them well.

Head to head

Jun 2023Lebanon 1–0 Maldives
Full-time recap →
Settles publicly at full time · Bitcoin-anchored · verify →

Around this fixture

All fixtures & results →Maldives form →Lebanon form →

Common questions

Who won Maldives vs Lebanon?

Lebanon beat Maldives 6–0. Bawler's model had Lebanon in front at 75% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.8 goals; the match produced 6. Maldives had 2 shots (1 on target) to Lebanon's 14 (10), with 25% of the ball against 75%.

What was the final score in Maldives vs Lebanon?

Maldives 0–6 Lebanon, played on 01 Oct 2026 in the World: International Friendly. Bawler's model had gone into it with Maldives 7%, the draw 17% and Lebanon 75%.

What were the stats in Maldives vs Lebanon?

Full-time: Possession 25%–75%, Shots 2–14, Shots on target 1–10, Corners 2–3, Fouls 5–14, Offsides 0–4, Yellow cards 0–1, Red cards 1–0.

Did both teams score in Maldives vs Lebanon?

No. It finished 0–6, so Maldives failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 39% before kickoff.

Was Bawler's prediction for Maldives vs Lebanon right?

Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Lebanon to win 75%, it finished Lebanon won (75% called); Total goals — we said 2.8, it finished 6; Both teams to score — we said 39%, it finished No; Second pick — we said Over 2.5 goals 53%, it finished Landed.