How it finished
Maccabi Tel-Aviv and FC Lugano drew 1–1. Bawler's model favoured Maccabi Tel-Aviv at 37% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 26%. It forecast 2.9 goals; only 2 were scored. Maccabi Tel-Aviv had 20 shots (7 on target) to FC Lugano's 9 (2), with 60% of the ball against 40%. Expected goals finished 2.3 to 0.6.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Shots and corners are not shown for this fixture — we do not have enough counted matches for these sides yet.
Our numbers, most likely first
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
No first-half forecast for this fixture.
Model inputs
Common questions
Who won Maccabi Tel-Aviv vs FC Lugano?
Maccabi Tel-Aviv and FC Lugano drew 1–1. Bawler's model favoured Maccabi Tel-Aviv at 37% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 26%. It forecast 2.9 goals; only 2 were scored. Maccabi Tel-Aviv had 20 shots (7 on target) to FC Lugano's 9 (2), with 60% of the ball against 40%. Expected goals finished 2.3 to 0.6.
What was the final score in Maccabi Tel-Aviv vs FC Lugano?
Maccabi Tel-Aviv 1–1 FC Lugano, played on 27 Aug 2026 in the Europe: Conference League - Qualification. Bawler's model had gone into it with Maccabi Tel-Aviv 37%, the draw 26% and FC Lugano 36%.
What were the stats in Maccabi Tel-Aviv vs FC Lugano?
Full-time: Possession 60%–40%, Expected goals (xG) 2.3–0.6, Shots 20–9, Shots on target 7–2, Shots inside box 12–3, Big chances 4–0, Corners 6–5, Saves 1–6, Fouls 12–10, Offsides 1–2, Yellow cards 1–5, Red cards 0–1.
Did both teams score in Maccabi Tel-Aviv vs FC Lugano?
Yes — both Maccabi Tel-Aviv and FC Lugano scored, finishing 1–1. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 59% before kickoff.
Was Bawler's prediction for Maccabi Tel-Aviv vs FC Lugano right?
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Maccabi Tel-Aviv or draw 64%, it finished Draw (26% called); Total goals — we said 2.9, it finished 2; Both teams to score — we said 59%, it finished Yes; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 79%, it finished Landed.