What we expect
Model inputs
Head to head
Common questions
Who will win Liechtenstein vs Lithuania?
Bawler's model rates this match: Lithuania are favoured (65% win probability vs 15% for Liechtenstein, 19% draw). The model uses rolling xG, recent form, and lineup data.
What is the predicted score for Liechtenstein vs Lithuania?
The most likely scoreline from Bawler's model is Liechtenstein 1-2 Lithuania (9.6% probability). Expected total goals: 3.40.
How does Bawler predict Liechtenstein vs Lithuania?
Bawler builds each side's expected goals from a rolling 26-match window, adjusts for home advantage and for injuries or absences in the confirmed squads, then runs the resulting scoreline distribution to get win, draw and both-teams-to-score probabilities. For this match that gives Liechtenstein 15%, the draw 19% and Lithuania 65%. Every prediction is published before kickoff and settled afterwards.
Will both teams score in Liechtenstein vs Lithuania?
BTTS: Yes (59% probability) — both attacks should find the net. Based on home expected goals 1.06 and away expected goals 2.34.
Over or under 2.5 goals in Liechtenstein vs Lithuania?
Bawler's model gives a combined expected-goals total of 3.40. The lean is Over 2.5 (a goal-fest is on the cards).