Bawler's pick
3 legs, built by our modelLevante on top, and Iván Romero getting plenty of shots away.
Levante v Racing Santander prediction
Levante are favourites on our numbers: 56% to win, against 23% for Racing Santander and 21% for a draw. Our predicted score is Levante 2–1 Racing Santander, at 9%. Levante are expected to score 2.2 goals and Racing Santander 1.4, 3.6 between them. Both teams scoring is 67% and three or more goals is 70%.
Of their last five meetings on our records, Levante and Racing Santander have two wins each, with one draw. When they last met, it finished Levante 3–1 Racing Santander, in Apr 2025. Yassir Zabiri is the player we expect to shoot most: 3.1 shots and 1.4 on target for Racing Santander, if they start. For cards, Jorge Salinas (Racing Santander) has been booked once every 2 games in 2026/27, more often than anyone else here.
On form, Levante have one win, three draws and two defeats from their last six games, and Racing Santander have three wins, one draw and two defeats. On shots, our forecast is 16.7 for Levante and 14.6 for Racing Santander, with 5.0 and 5.0 on target, and corners at 5.9 to 4.8. Bawler's pick for this game is Levante or Draw, Levante Over 12.5 Shots and Iván Romero 2+ Shots. Our model gives all three landing together a 47% chance, which makes the fair price 11/10 (2.12).
Written from the numbers on this page. These are forecasts, not certainties. 18+ Please gamble responsibly. BeGambleAware.org
Players to watch
Numbers are if they start — lineups land about an hour before kickoff.
Most booked
Games per booking, from their latest season — a record, not a forecastWhat we expect from each side
The grey number is their average over the last six.
More chances
Levante · last 6
Racing Santander · last 6
League position
Head to head
First half — what we expect
First-half chances
How likely each side is to reach these totals before half-time.
Second half — who scores?
At half-time we update each side’s chance of scoring in the second half from what the first half showed.
What would change the call
Levante or draw is 77% now. Here is what it would become at half-time:
Based on the half-time score alone — team news is not included.
Player forecasts
Shots we expect from each player if they start — lineups land about an hour before kickoff. From 2025/26–2026/27, all club matches.
1 in 3 = booked about once every three games last time out — a record, not a forecast. Players with fewer minutes are pulled toward the league average, so a small sample never reads as a certainty.
Around this fixture
LaLiga table →Common questions
Who will win Levante vs Racing Santander?
Bawler's model rates this match: Levante are favoured (56% win probability vs 23% for Racing Santander, 21% draw). The model uses each side’s expected goals, recent form and the strength of the opposition.
What is the predicted score for Levante vs Racing Santander?
Bawler's predicted score is Levante 2-1 Racing Santander: the most likely score if Levante win, which is the likeliest result (56%). Our model puts that exact score at 9.2%. Expected total goals: 3.6.
How does Bawler predict Levante vs Racing Santander?
Bawler estimates each side's expected goals from its results and the quality of its chances, adjusted for the strength of the opposition and for home advantage, then works out the chance of every scoreline to get win, draw and both-teams-to-score probabilities. Team news and lineups are not built into these numbers. For this match that gives Levante 56%, the draw 21% and Racing Santander 23%. Every prediction is published before kickoff and settled afterwards.
Will both teams score in Levante vs Racing Santander?
Probably — Bawler's model gives both teams scoring a 67% chance. That is based on Levante expecting 2.22 goals and Racing Santander 1.38.
Over or under 2.5 goals in Levante vs Racing Santander?
Bawler's model expects 3.6 goals in total. It leans towards three or more goals: over 2.5 goals is 70%.
When are the Levante v Racing Santander line-ups announced?
Clubs usually name their line-ups about an hour before kickoff.
What is Bawler's pick for Levante v Racing Santander?
Levante or Draw (77%), Levante Over 12.5 Shots (79%), Iván Romero 2+ Shots (71%). Our model gives all 3 landing together a 47% chance, a fair price of 11/10 (2.12). 18+, please gamble responsibly.