FT · France: Ligue 1 · Sunday, 08 November 2026
Le Mans 1–1 AS MonacoMatch recap · Sunday, 08 November 2026
How Bawler's pick did
Bawler's pickLost
AS Monaco or Draw✓
AS Monaco Over 12.5 Shots✗
Paris Brunner 2+ ShotsDidn't start, so this leg was droppedDropped
Logged before kickoff, settled from the final stats on the legs left in play. Bawler's pick record →
Pre-match probability vs result
Le Mans win
25%
Draw
24%
Result
AS Monaco win
51%
Goals we expected vs goals scored
Our forecast
1.3 – 1.9
Total 3.2
Actual
1 – 1
Total 2 (−1.2 against our forecast)
Chances created (xG)
1.5 – 0.8
From the match itself
The match produced 1.2 fewer goals than we forecast. That can be wasteful finishing, strong goalkeeping or chances we over-rated.