Latvia vs Montenegro prediction — UEFA Nations League · Fri 2 Oct · 17:00 UK

UEFA Nations League · Fri 2 Oct · 17:00 UK
26Latvia win26Draw48Montenegro win
Full time
1–2

How it finished

Montenegro beat Latvia 2–1. Latvia had 14 shots (2 on target) to Montenegro's 14 (6), with 51% of the ball against 49%. Expected goals finished 0.9 to 1.9.

LatviaFull-time statsMontenegro
51%Possession49%
0.9Expected goals (xG)1.9
14Shots14
2Shots on target6
7Shots inside box11
2Big chances3
5Corners2
4Saves1
10Fouls7
0Offsides1
1Yellow cards1
We expected
1–1
12% — the single most likely result
Expected goals
1.1v1.6
2.8 in total
Both teams score
55%
Leans yes
3+ goals
53%
Leans likely

What we expected from each side

The grey number is their average over the last six.

LatviaLatviaMontenegroMontenegro
1.1Goals1.6
LatviaLatviaMontenegroMontenegro
0.5Goals0.7
LatviaLatviaMontenegroMontenegro
0.6Goals0.9

Shots and corners are not shown for this match — one of these national teams has too few recorded games for us to forecast them.

What we said the chances were

Montenegro to score81%
2 or more goals77%
Goal before half-time71%
3 goals or fewer69%
Latvia to score68%

First half — what we expected

Latvia
40%
to score before half-time
Montenegro
52%
to score before half-time

Shots and corners are not shown for international matches yet — national teams play too few games for us to forecast them well.

Head to head

Oct 2026Latvia 1–2 Montenegro
Sept 2021Montenegro 0–0 Latvia
Mar 2021Latvia 1–2 Montenegro
Oct 2020Montenegro 1–1 Latvia
Aug 2012Montenegro 2–0 Latvia
Full-time recap →
Every Bawler's pick is logged before kickoff · Bawler's pick record →

Around this fixture

All fixtures & results →Latvia form →Montenegro form →

Common questions

Who won Latvia vs Montenegro?

Montenegro beat Latvia 2–1. Latvia had 14 shots (2 on target) to Montenegro's 14 (6), with 51% of the ball against 49%. Expected goals finished 0.9 to 1.9.

What was the final score in Latvia vs Montenegro?

Latvia 1–2 Montenegro, played on 02 Oct 2026 in the Europe: UEFA Nations League. Bawler's model had gone into it with Latvia 26%, the draw 26% and Montenegro 48%.

What were the stats in Latvia vs Montenegro?

Full-time: Possession 51%–49%, Expected goals (xG) 0.9–1.9, Shots 14–14, Shots on target 2–6, Shots inside box 7–11, Big chances 2–3, Corners 5–2, Saves 4–1, Fouls 10–7, Offsides 0–1, Yellow cards 1–1.

Did both teams score in Latvia vs Montenegro?

Yes — both Latvia and Montenegro scored, finishing 1–2. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 55% before kickoff.