KVC Westerlo on top: we expect them to avoid defeat and do most of the shooting.
Our model makes KVC Westerlo favourites for this Belgian Pro League game, giving them a 52% chance of winning. RAAL La Louvière are 25% and the draw is 23%. Our predicted score is KVC Westerlo 2–1 RAAL La Louvière, the likeliest KVC Westerlo win score (9%). KVC Westerlo are expected to score 2.0 goals and RAAL La Louvière 1.3, 3.3 between them. Both teams scoring is 62% and three or more goals is 63%.
On shots, our forecast is 16.9 for KVC Westerlo and 11.4 for RAAL La Louvière, with 6.0 and 3.7 on target, and corners at 5.5 to 4.0. So we expect KVC Westerlo to do more of the shooting. Mustapha Isah is the player we expect to shoot most: 2.3 shots and 1.0 on target for RAAL La Louvière, if they start. For cards, Mame Wade (RAAL La Louvière) has been booked once every 2 games in 2026/27, more often than anyone else here.
On form, KVC Westerlo have three wins, one draw and two defeats from their last six games, and RAAL La Louvière have two wins, no draws and four defeats. Bawler's pick combines KVC Westerlo or Draw, KVC Westerlo Over 12.5 Shots, KVC Westerlo Over 3.5 Shots on Target and KVC Westerlo Over 2.5 Corners. We make the chance of all four coming in 46%, a fair price of 6/5 (2.17).
Written from the numbers on this page. These are forecasts, not certainties. 18+ Please gamble responsibly. BeGambleAware.org
Numbers are if they start — lineups land about an hour before kickoff.
The grey number is their average over the last six.
How likely each side is to reach these totals before half-time.
At half-time we update each side’s chance of scoring in the second half from what the first half showed.
KVC Westerlo or draw is 75% now. Here is what it would become at half-time:
Based on the half-time score alone — team news is not included.
Shots we expect from each player if they start — lineups land about an hour before kickoff. From 2025/26–2026/27 and 2026/27, all club matches.
1 in 3 = booked about once every three games last time out — a record, not a forecast. Players with fewer minutes are pulled toward the league average, so a small sample never reads as a certainty.
Bawler's model rates this match: KVC Westerlo are favoured (52% win probability vs 25% for RAAL La Louvière, 23% draw). The model uses each side’s expected goals, recent form and the strength of the opposition.
Bawler's predicted score is KVC Westerlo 2-1 RAAL La Louvière: the most likely score if KVC Westerlo win, which is the likeliest result (52%). Our model puts that exact score at 9.5%. Expected total goals: 3.3.
Bawler estimates each side's expected goals from its results and the quality of its chances, adjusted for the strength of the opposition and for home advantage, then works out the chance of every scoreline to get win, draw and both-teams-to-score probabilities. Team news and lineups are not built into these numbers. For this match that gives KVC Westerlo 52%, the draw 23% and RAAL La Louvière 25%. Every prediction is published before kickoff and settled afterwards.
Probably — Bawler's model gives both teams scoring a 62% chance. That is based on KVC Westerlo expecting 1.96 goals and RAAL La Louvière 1.30.
Bawler's model expects 3.3 goals in total. It leans towards three or more goals: over 2.5 goals is 63%.
Clubs usually name their line-ups about an hour before kickoff.
KVC Westerlo or Draw (75%), KVC Westerlo Over 12.5 Shots (80%), KVC Westerlo Over 3.5 Shots on Target (81%), KVC Westerlo Over 2.5 Corners (85%). Our model gives all 4 landing together a 46% chance, a fair price of 6/5 (2.17). 18+, please gamble responsibly.