Bawler's pick
4 legs, built by our modelRacing Genk on top: we expect them to avoid defeat and do most of the shooting.
Racing Genk v RAAL La Louvière prediction
Our model makes Racing Genk clear favourites for this Belgian Pro League game, with a 70% chance of winning. RAAL La Louvière are given 11%, and the draw 18%. Our predicted score is Racing Genk 2–0 RAAL La Louvière (11%), though no one exact score is likely on its own. Racing Genk are expected to score 2.4 goals and RAAL La Louvière 0.9, 3.3 between them. Both sides are more likely than not to score (53%) and three or more goals is 63%.
In their last six games Racing Genk have three wins, one draw and two defeats, while RAAL La Louvière have three wins, no draws and three defeats. Both lost their most recent match. Zsombor Gruber (RAAL La Louvière) is the player we expect to shoot most, with 1.9 shots if they start. Mustapha Isah (RAAL La Louvière) leads for shots on target, at 0.9. Mame Wade of RAAL La Louvière is the most booked player in either squad, once every 2 games in 2026/27.
We expect Racing Genk to have 21.1 shots (6.3 on target) and RAAL La Louvière 9.6 (2.3 on target), and corners at 7.3 to 3.6. That points to Racing Genk doing more of the attacking. Bawler's pick for this game is Racing Genk or Draw, Racing Genk Over 16.5 Shots, Racing Genk Over 3.5 Shots on Target and Racing Genk Over 4.5 Corners. Our model gives all four landing together a 50% chance, which makes the fair price Evens (1.99).
Written from the numbers on this page. These are forecasts, not certainties. 18+ Please gamble responsibly. BeGambleAware.org
Players to watch
Numbers are if they start — lineups land about an hour before kickoff.
Most shots
Shots we expect them to takeMost on target
Shots on target we expectMost booked
Games per booking, from their latest season — a record, not a forecastWhat we expect from each side
The grey number is their average over the last six.
More chances
Racing Genk · last 6
RAAL La Louvière · last 6
League position
First half — what we expect
First-half chances
How likely each side is to reach these totals before half-time.
Second half — who scores?
At half-time we update each side’s chance of scoring in the second half from what the first half showed.
What would change the call
Racing Genk to win is 70% now. Here is what it would become at half-time:
Based on the half-time score alone — team news is not included.
Player forecasts
Shots we expect from each player if they start — lineups land about an hour before kickoff. From 2025/26–2026/27 and 2026/27, all club matches.
1 in 3 = booked about once every three games last time out — a record, not a forecast. Players with fewer minutes are pulled toward the league average, so a small sample never reads as a certainty.
Around this fixture
Jupiler Pro League table →Common questions
Who will win Racing Genk vs RAAL La Louvière?
Bawler's model rates this match: Racing Genk are favoured (70% win probability vs 11% for RAAL La Louvière, 18% draw). The model uses each side’s expected goals, recent form and the strength of the opposition.
What is the predicted score for Racing Genk vs RAAL La Louvière?
Bawler's predicted score is Racing Genk 2-0 RAAL La Louvière: the most likely score if Racing Genk win, which is the likeliest result (70%). Our model puts that exact score at 10.8%. Expected total goals: 3.3.
How does Bawler predict Racing Genk vs RAAL La Louvière?
Bawler estimates each side's expected goals from its results and the quality of its chances, adjusted for the strength of the opposition and for home advantage, then works out the chance of every scoreline to get win, draw and both-teams-to-score probabilities. Team news and lineups are not built into these numbers. For this match that gives Racing Genk 70%, the draw 18% and RAAL La Louvière 11%. Every prediction is published before kickoff and settled afterwards.
Will both teams score in Racing Genk vs RAAL La Louvière?
Probably — Bawler's model gives both teams scoring a 53% chance. That is based on Racing Genk expecting 2.39 goals and RAAL La Louvière 0.88.
Over or under 2.5 goals in Racing Genk vs RAAL La Louvière?
Bawler's model expects 3.3 goals in total. It leans towards three or more goals: over 2.5 goals is 63%.
When are the Racing Genk v RAAL La Louvière line-ups announced?
Clubs usually name their line-ups about an hour before kickoff.
What is Bawler's pick for Racing Genk v RAAL La Louvière?
Racing Genk or Draw (89%), Racing Genk Over 16.5 Shots (78%), Racing Genk Over 3.5 Shots on Target (83%), Racing Genk Over 4.5 Corners (79%). Our model gives all 4 landing together a 50% chance, a fair price of Evens (1.99). 18+, please gamble responsibly.