How it finished
Moldova beat Kazakhstan 2–1. Kazakhstan had 19 shots (4 on target) to Moldova's 16 (8), with 65% of the ball against 35%. On expected goals it was 1.1 to 0.9, so Kazakhstan created the better chances and still lost the game.
What we expected from each side
The grey number is their average over the last six.
Shots and corners are not shown for this match — one of these national teams has too few recorded games for us to forecast them.
What we said the chances were
First half — what we expected
Shots and corners are not shown for international matches yet — national teams play too few games for us to forecast them well.
Head to head
Around this fixture
Common questions
Who won Kazakhstan vs Moldova?
Moldova beat Kazakhstan 2–1. Kazakhstan had 19 shots (4 on target) to Moldova's 16 (8), with 65% of the ball against 35%. On expected goals it was 1.1 to 0.9, so Kazakhstan created the better chances and still lost the game.
What was the final score in Kazakhstan vs Moldova?
Kazakhstan 1–2 Moldova, played on 02 Oct 2026 in the Europe: UEFA Nations League. Bawler's model had gone into it with Kazakhstan 71%, the draw 19% and Moldova 10%.
What were the stats in Kazakhstan vs Moldova?
Full-time: Possession 65%–35%, Expected goals (xG) 1.1–0.9, Shots 19–16, Shots on target 4–8, Shots inside box 10–9, Big chances 3–0, Corners 11–4, Saves 6–2, Fouls 10–10, Offsides 0–1, Yellow cards 2–0.
Did both teams score in Kazakhstan vs Moldova?
Yes — both Kazakhstan and Moldova scored, finishing 1–2. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 48% before kickoff.