FT · World: International Friendly · Saturday, 14 November 2026

Japan 3–2 BrazilMatch recap · Saturday, 14 November 2026

Japan
3–2
Japan win
Brazil

Pre-match probability vs result

Japan win
33%
Result
Draw
27%
Brazil win
39%

Goals we expected vs goals scored

Our forecast
1.3 – 1.4
Total 2.7
Actual
3 – 2
Total 5 (+2.3 against our forecast)
Chances created (xG)
1.2 – 1.5
From the match itself

The match produced 2.3 more goals than we forecast. That can be sharp finishing, set pieces or attacking quality we under-rated.

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