Bawler's pick
3 legs, built by our modelHibernian on top, and Thibault Klidje getting plenty of shots away.
Hibernian v Dundee prediction
Our model gives Hibernian 58%, the draw 24% and Dundee 19%, so Hibernian start as favourites. If you want one score, our predicted score is Hibernian 1–0 Dundee, the most likely Hibernian win (10%). We expect 2.9 goals in total: 1.9 for Hibernian and 1.0 for Dundee. Both sides are more likely than not to score (54%) and three or more goals is 55%.
We expect Hibernian to have 18.5 shots (5.3 on target) and Dundee 9.8 (3.1 on target), and corners at 6.5 to 4.4. That points to Hibernian doing more of the attacking. Of their last five meetings on our records, Hibernian have won four, Dundee none, and one was drawn. The last meeting ended Dundee FC 1–2 Hibernian, in Aug 2026.
In their last six games Hibernian have two wins, one draw and three defeats, while Dundee have three wins, one draw and two defeats. Hibernian won their most recent match and Dundee lost theirs. Of the players, Thibault Klidje (Hibernian) tops both our lists, with 2.7 shots and 1.0 on target expected if they start. Finlay Robertson of Dundee is the most booked player in either squad, once every 2 games in 2025/26. Bawler's pick for this game is Hibernian or Draw, Hibernian Over 13.5 Shots and Thibault Klidje 2+ Shots. Our model gives all three landing together a 51% chance, which makes the fair price Evens (1.96).
Written from the numbers on this page. These are forecasts, not certainties. 18+ Please gamble responsibly. BeGambleAware.org
Players to watch
Numbers are if they start — lineups land about an hour before kickoff.
Most booked
Games per booking, from their latest season — a record, not a forecastWhat we expect from each side
The grey number is their average over the last six.
More chances
Hibernian · last 6
Dundee · last 6
League position
Head to head
First half — what we expect
First-half chances
How likely each side is to reach these totals before half-time.
Second half — who scores?
At half-time we update each side’s chance of scoring in the second half from what the first half showed.
What would change the call
Hibernian or draw is 81% now. Here is what it would become at half-time:
Based on the half-time score alone — team news is not included.
Player forecasts
Shots we expect from each player if they start — lineups land about an hour before kickoff. From 2025/26–2026/27, all club matches.
1 in 3 = booked about once every three games last time out — a record, not a forecast. Players with fewer minutes are pulled toward the league average, so a small sample never reads as a certainty.
Around this fixture
Premiership table →Common questions
Who will win Hibernian vs Dundee?
Bawler's model rates this match: Hibernian are favoured (58% win probability vs 19% for Dundee, 24% draw). The model uses each side’s expected goals, recent form and the strength of the opposition.
What is the predicted score for Hibernian vs Dundee?
Bawler's predicted score is Hibernian 1-0 Dundee: the most likely score if Hibernian win, which is the likeliest result (58%). Our model puts that exact score at 10.4%. Expected total goals: 2.9.
How does Bawler predict Hibernian vs Dundee?
Bawler estimates each side's expected goals from its results and the quality of its chances, adjusted for the strength of the opposition and for home advantage, then works out the chance of every scoreline to get win, draw and both-teams-to-score probabilities. Team news and lineups are not built into these numbers. For this match that gives Hibernian 58%, the draw 24% and Dundee 19%. Every prediction is published before kickoff and settled afterwards.
Will both teams score in Hibernian vs Dundee?
Probably — Bawler's model gives both teams scoring a 54% chance. That is based on Hibernian expecting 1.90 goals and Dundee 1.00.
Over or under 2.5 goals in Hibernian vs Dundee?
Bawler's model expects 2.9 goals in total. It leans slightly towards three or more goals: over 2.5 goals is 55%.
When are the Hibernian v Dundee line-ups announced?
Clubs usually name their line-ups about an hour before kickoff.
What is Bawler's pick for Hibernian v Dundee?
Hibernian or Draw (81%), Hibernian Over 13.5 Shots (82%), Thibault Klidje 2+ Shots (70%). Our model gives all 3 landing together a 51% chance, a fair price of Evens (1.96). 18+, please gamble responsibly.