Hammarby IF vs Raków Czestochowa prediction — Conference League - Qualification · Thu 13 Aug · 18:00 UK

Conference League - Qualification · Thu 13 Aug · 18:00 UK
Hammarby IF 40Draw 28Raków Czestochowa 32
The call
68%
Hammarby IF or draw
2.5
Goals expected
Full time
Final 0–1

How it finished

Raków Czestochowa beat Hammarby IF 1–0. Bawler's model favoured Hammarby IF at 40% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave Raków Czestochowa 32%. It forecast 2.5 goals; only 1 was scored. Hammarby IF had 16 shots (4 on target) to Raków Czestochowa's 6 (3), with 60% of the ball against 40%.

Hammarby IFFull-time statsRaków…
60%Possession40%
16Shots6
4Shots on target3
10Corners2
9Fouls9
0Offsides1
3Yellow cards4
1Red cards0
What we publishedBeforeAfter
ResultHammarby IF 40%Raków Czestochowa (32% called)
Total goals2.51
Both teams to score50%No
Model callHammarby IF or Draw 68%Missed
Second callOver 2.5 Goals 52%Missed

Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.

What we expected

MarketProbability
Under 3.5 goals76%
Hammarby IF to score74%
Over 1.5 goals71%
Raków Czestochowa to score69%

Model inputs

Expected goals gap (xG)+0.2 / match
Opponent strength indexBottom quartile
Full-time recap →
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Common questions

Who won Hammarby IF vs Raków Czestochowa?

Raków Czestochowa beat Hammarby IF 1–0. Bawler's model favoured Hammarby IF at 40% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave Raków Czestochowa 32%. It forecast 2.5 goals; only 1 was scored. Hammarby IF had 16 shots (4 on target) to Raków Czestochowa's 6 (3), with 60% of the ball against 40%.

What was the final score in Hammarby IF vs Raków Czestochowa?

Hammarby IF 0–1 Raków Czestochowa, played on 13 Aug 2026 in the EUROPE: Conference League - Qualification. Bawler's model had gone into it with Hammarby IF 40%, the draw 28% and Raków Czestochowa 32%.

What were the stats in Hammarby IF vs Raków Czestochowa?

Full-time: Possession 60%–40%, Shots 16–6, Shots on target 4–3, Corners 10–2, Fouls 9–9, Offsides 0–1, Yellow cards 3–4, Red cards 1–0.

Did both teams score in Hammarby IF vs Raków Czestochowa?

No. It finished 0–1, so Hammarby IF failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 50% before kickoff.

Was Bawler's prediction for Hammarby IF vs Raków Czestochowa right?

Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Result — we said Hammarby IF 40%, it finished Raków Czestochowa (32% called); Total goals — we said 2.5, it finished 1; Both teams to score — we said 50%, it finished No; Model call — we said Hammarby IF or Draw 68%, it finished Missed; Second call — we said Over 2.5 Goals 52%, it finished Missed.

Around this fixture

Hammarby IF
Before this
6 AugARaków Czestochowa0–0 D
All fixtures & results →Hammarby IF form →Raków Czestochowa form →