Match prediction·EUROPE: Conference League - Qualification·Wednesday 12 Aug, 16:00 UTC

GKS Katowice vs Hapoel Tel Aviv

Bawler weighs each team's recent scoring and defending, then adjusts for home advantage and injuries to work out how this match is likely to go. This page shows the full chain — every number we used.

📊 Win probability
40.0% home28.0% draw32.0% away
📈 xG chain — base → adjustments → final goal estimate
GKS KatowicestepHapoel Tel Aviv
1.40Base xG · rolling 26-match1.10
no injury adjustment — full squads available per FotMob
1.40Final goal estimate — what the model uses1.10
🎯 Scoreline distribution · chance of each scoremodel estimate
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
0
8
9
5
2
1
1
11
13
7
3
1
2
8
9
5
2
3
4
4
2
1
4
1
1
1
5
6
home windrawaway win
Most likely outcomes
GKS Katowice or Draw
68%
Over 2.5 goals
52%
GKS Katowice Win
40%
Draw
28%

Model probabilities for this fixture, ordered by likelihood. Estimates from rolling expected goals — not guarantees.

More predictions for these teams

GKS Katowice vs Hapoel Tel Aviv — Head-to-Head

In 1 recorded meeting since 6 August 2026, GKS Katowice have won 0, Hapoel Tel Aviv have won 1, with 0 drawn. This covers only matches in Bawler's own settled ledger — not an all-time head-to-head record.

DateResultCompetition
6 August 2026Hapoel Tel Aviv 20 GKS KatowiceEUROPE: Conference League - Qualification

The model's verdict for this fixture: GKS Katowice 40% · draw 28% · Hapoel Tel Aviv 32%.

Model probabilities are edge estimates for entertainment — not betting advice, and past performance does not guarantee future results. 18+.

⚡ Full-time recap available
GKS Katowice 21 Hapoel Tel Aviv
See how the model called it · call-by-call verdict · xG vs actual →
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Model estimates from rolling expected goals — not guaranteed outcomes. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results.