Gaziantep FK vs Amed SFK prediction — Süper Lig · Sat 28 Nov · 16:00 UK

Süper Lig · Sat 28 Nov · 16:00 UKUpdated Fri 13 Nov, 17:01 UK
17Gaziantep FK win21Draw62Amed SFK win
The call
62%
Amed SFK to win

Gaziantep FK v Amed SFK prediction

Our model makes Amed SFK clear favourites for this Süper Lig game, with a 62% chance of winning. Gaziantep FK are given 17%, and the draw 21%. Our predicted score is Gaziantep FK 1–2 Amed SFK (10%), though no one exact score is likely on its own. Gaziantep FK are expected to score 1.1 goals and Amed SFK 2.2, 3.3 between them. Both teams scoring is 60% and three or more goals is 64%.

Gift Orban is the player we expect to shoot most: 3.1 shots and 1.2 on target for Amed SFK, if they start. For cards, Lumbardh Dellova (Amed SFK) has been booked once every 2 games in 2026/27, more often than anyone else here.

On form, Gaziantep FK have no wins, no draws and six defeats from their last six games, and Amed SFK have four wins, one draw and one defeat.

Written from the numbers on this page. These are forecasts, not certainties.

Predicted score
1–2
Amed SFK to win · 10% for this exact score
Expected goals
1.1v2.2
3.3 in total
Both teams score
60%
Yes
3+ goals
64%
Likely

Players to watch

Numbers are if they start — lineups land about an hour before kickoff.

What we expect from each side

The grey number is their average over the last six.

Gaziantep FKGaziantep FKAmed SFKAmed SFK
1.1Goals2.2
usually 0.3usually 2.7
Gaziantep FKGaziantep FKAmed SFKAmed SFK
0.5Goals1.0
Gaziantep FKGaziantep FKAmed SFKAmed SFK
0.6Goals1.2

Shots and corners are not shown for this fixture — we do not have enough counted matches for these sides yet.

More chances

Amed SFK to score89%
2 or more goals84%
Goal before half-time77%
Gaziantep FK to score67%

Gaziantep FK · last 6

Lv Kasımpaşa0–216 shots
Lat Trabzonspor0–213 shots
Lv Erzurumspor FK1–321 shots
Lat Başakşehir1–212 shots
Lv Çorum FK0–312 shots
Lat Kocaelispor0–216 shots

Amed SFK · last 6

Lat Galatasaray3–414 shots
Wv Eyüpspor5–120 shots
Wat Samsunspor2–122 shots
Wv Konyaspor1–013 shots
Dat Gençlerbirliği2–219 shots
Wv Beşiktaş3–210 shots

League position

Amed SFK in their league tableTop quarter

First half — what we expect

Gaziantep FK
39%
to score before half-time
Amed SFK
62%
to score before half-time

Shots and corners are not shown for this fixture — we do not have enough counted matches for these sides yet.

Second half — who scores?

At half-time we update each side’s chance of scoring in the second half from what the first half showed.

What would change the call

Amed SFK to win is 62% now. Here is what it would become at half-time:

Gaziantep FK lead 1–0 at half-time20%
Amed SFK lead 1–0 at half-time81%
Goalless at half-time48%

Based on the half-time score alone — team news is not included.

Player forecasts

Shots we expect from each player if they start — lineups land about an hour before kickoff. From 2025/26–2026/27, all club matches.

1 in 3 = booked about once every three games last time out — a record, not a forecast. Players with fewer minutes are pulled toward the league average, so a small sample never reads as a certainty.

Build a combination on this match →
Every Bawler's pick is logged before kickoff · Bawler's pick record →

Around this fixture

Süper Lig table →
All fixtures & results →Gaziantep FK form →Amed SFK form →

Common questions

Who will win Gaziantep FK vs Amed SFK?

Bawler's model rates this match: Amed SFK are favoured (62% win probability vs 17% for Gaziantep FK, 21% draw). The model uses each side’s expected goals, recent form and the strength of the opposition.

What is the predicted score for Gaziantep FK vs Amed SFK?

Bawler's predicted score is Gaziantep FK 1-2 Amed SFK: the most likely score if Amed SFK win, which is the likeliest result (62%). Our model puts that exact score at 9.7%. Expected total goals: 3.3.

How does Bawler predict Gaziantep FK vs Amed SFK?

Bawler estimates each side's expected goals from its results and the quality of its chances, adjusted for the strength of the opposition and for home advantage, then works out the chance of every scoreline to get win, draw and both-teams-to-score probabilities. Team news and lineups are not built into these numbers. For this match that gives Gaziantep FK 17%, the draw 21% and Amed SFK 62%. Every prediction is published before kickoff and settled afterwards.

Will both teams score in Gaziantep FK vs Amed SFK?

Probably — Bawler's model gives both teams scoring a 60% chance. That is based on Gaziantep FK expecting 1.11 goals and Amed SFK 2.21.

Over or under 2.5 goals in Gaziantep FK vs Amed SFK?

Bawler's model expects 3.3 goals in total. It leans towards three or more goals: over 2.5 goals is 64%.

When are the Gaziantep FK v Amed SFK line-ups announced?

Clubs usually name their line-ups about an hour before kickoff.