Our model makes Amed SFK clear favourites for this Süper Lig game, with a 62% chance of winning. Gaziantep FK are given 17%, and the draw 21%. Our predicted score is Gaziantep FK 1–2 Amed SFK (10%), though no one exact score is likely on its own. Gaziantep FK are expected to score 1.1 goals and Amed SFK 2.2, 3.3 between them. Both teams scoring is 60% and three or more goals is 64%.
Gift Orban is the player we expect to shoot most: 3.1 shots and 1.2 on target for Amed SFK, if they start. For cards, Lumbardh Dellova (Amed SFK) has been booked once every 2 games in 2026/27, more often than anyone else here.
On form, Gaziantep FK have no wins, no draws and six defeats from their last six games, and Amed SFK have four wins, one draw and one defeat.
Written from the numbers on this page. These are forecasts, not certainties.
Numbers are if they start — lineups land about an hour before kickoff.
The grey number is their average over the last six.
Shots and corners are not shown for this fixture — we do not have enough counted matches for these sides yet.
Shots and corners are not shown for this fixture — we do not have enough counted matches for these sides yet.
At half-time we update each side’s chance of scoring in the second half from what the first half showed.
Amed SFK to win is 62% now. Here is what it would become at half-time:
Based on the half-time score alone — team news is not included.
Shots we expect from each player if they start — lineups land about an hour before kickoff. From 2025/26–2026/27, all club matches.
1 in 3 = booked about once every three games last time out — a record, not a forecast. Players with fewer minutes are pulled toward the league average, so a small sample never reads as a certainty.
Bawler's model rates this match: Amed SFK are favoured (62% win probability vs 17% for Gaziantep FK, 21% draw). The model uses each side’s expected goals, recent form and the strength of the opposition.
Bawler's predicted score is Gaziantep FK 1-2 Amed SFK: the most likely score if Amed SFK win, which is the likeliest result (62%). Our model puts that exact score at 9.7%. Expected total goals: 3.3.
Bawler estimates each side's expected goals from its results and the quality of its chances, adjusted for the strength of the opposition and for home advantage, then works out the chance of every scoreline to get win, draw and both-teams-to-score probabilities. Team news and lineups are not built into these numbers. For this match that gives Gaziantep FK 17%, the draw 21% and Amed SFK 62%. Every prediction is published before kickoff and settled afterwards.
Probably — Bawler's model gives both teams scoring a 60% chance. That is based on Gaziantep FK expecting 1.11 goals and Amed SFK 2.21.
Bawler's model expects 3.3 goals in total. It leans towards three or more goals: over 2.5 goals is 64%.
Clubs usually name their line-ups about an hour before kickoff.