Bawler's pick
3 legs, built by our modelAmed SFK on top: we expect them to avoid defeat and do most of the shooting.
Amed SFK v Caykur Rizespor prediction
Our model gives Amed SFK a 71% chance of winning this Süper Lig game. A Caykur Rizespor win is 12% and a draw 17%. If you want one score, our predicted score is Amed SFK 2–1 Caykur Rizespor, at 9%. Amed SFK are expected to score 2.6 goals and Caykur Rizespor 1.0, 3.7 between them. Both sides are more likely than not to score (60%) and three or more goals is 71%.
On form, Amed SFK have five wins, one draw and no defeats from their last six games, and Caykur Rizespor have one win, two draws and three defeats. Furkan Soyalp of Amed SFK is the most booked player in either squad, once every 2 games in 2026/27.
We expect Amed SFK to have 17.4 shots (5.7 on target) and Caykur Rizespor 12.0 (4.0 on target), and corners at 4.5 to 4.3. That points to Amed SFK doing more of the attacking. Bawler's pick for this game is Amed SFK or Draw, Amed SFK Over 13.5 Shots and Amed SFK Over 3.5 Shots on Target. Our model gives all three landing together a 56% chance, which makes the fair price 4/5 (1.77).
Written from the numbers on this page. These are forecasts, not certainties. 18+ Please gamble responsibly. BeGambleAware.org
Players to watch
Most booked
Games per booking, from their latest season — a record, not a forecastWhat we expect from each side
The grey number is their average over the last six.
More chances
Amed SFK · last 6
Caykur Rizespor · last 6
League position
First half — what we expect
First-half chances
How likely each side is to reach these totals before half-time.
Second half — who scores?
At half-time we update each side’s chance of scoring in the second half from what the first half showed.
What would change the call
Amed SFK to win is 71% now. Here is what it would become at half-time:
Based on the half-time score alone — team news is not included.
Around this fixture
Süper Lig table →Common questions
Who will win Amed SFK vs Caykur Rizespor?
Bawler's model rates this match: Amed SFK are favoured (71% win probability vs 12% for Caykur Rizespor, 17% draw). The model uses each side’s expected goals, recent form and the strength of the opposition.
What is the predicted score for Amed SFK vs Caykur Rizespor?
Bawler's predicted score is Amed SFK 2-1 Caykur Rizespor: the most likely score if Amed SFK win, which is the likeliest result (71%). Our model puts that exact score at 9.1%. Expected total goals: 3.7.
How does Bawler predict Amed SFK vs Caykur Rizespor?
Bawler estimates each side's expected goals from its results and the quality of its chances, adjusted for the strength of the opposition and for home advantage, then works out the chance of every scoreline to get win, draw and both-teams-to-score probabilities. Team news and lineups are not built into these numbers. For this match that gives Amed SFK 71%, the draw 17% and Caykur Rizespor 12%. Every prediction is published before kickoff and settled afterwards.
Will both teams score in Amed SFK vs Caykur Rizespor?
Probably — Bawler's model gives both teams scoring a 60% chance. That is based on Amed SFK expecting 2.65 goals and Caykur Rizespor 1.04.
Over or under 2.5 goals in Amed SFK vs Caykur Rizespor?
Bawler's model expects 3.7 goals in total. It leans towards three or more goals: over 2.5 goals is 71%.
When are the Amed SFK v Caykur Rizespor line-ups announced?
Clubs usually name their line-ups about an hour before kickoff.
What is Bawler's pick for Amed SFK v Caykur Rizespor?
Amed SFK or Draw (88%), Amed SFK Over 13.5 Shots (76%), Amed SFK Over 3.5 Shots on Target (78%). Our model gives all 3 landing together a 56% chance, a fair price of 4/5 (1.77). 18+, please gamble responsibly.