Fleetwood Town vs Chesterfield prediction — EFL Cup · Sat 8 Aug · 15:00 UK

EFL Cup · Sat 8 Aug · 15:00 UK
Fleetwood Town 40Draw 28Chesterfield 32
The call
68%
Fleetwood Town or draw
2.5
Goals expected
Full time
Final 1–0

How it finished

Fleetwood Town beat Chesterfield 1–0. Bawler's model had Fleetwood Town in front at 40% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.5 goals; only 1 was scored. Fleetwood Town had 5 shots (2 on target) to Chesterfield's 15 (1), with 29% of the ball against 71%. On expected goals it was 0.6 to 1.1, so Chesterfield created the better chances and still lost the game.

Fleetwood…Full-time statsChesterfield
29%Possession71%
0.6Expected goals (xG)1.1
5Shots15
2Shots on target1
3Shots inside box10
1Big chances2
7Corners9
1Saves1
21Fouls8
0Offsides2
3Yellow cards2
What we publishedBeforeAfter
ResultFleetwood Town 40%Fleetwood Town (40% called)
Total goals2.51
Both teams to score50%No
Model callFleetwood Town or Draw 68%Landed
Second callOver 2.5 Goals 52%Missed

Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.

What we expected

MarketProbability
Under 3.5 goals76%
Fleetwood Town to score74%
Over 1.5 goals71%
Chesterfield to score69%

Model inputs

Expected goals gap (xG)+0.2 / match
Full-time recap →
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Common questions

Who won Fleetwood Town vs Chesterfield?

Fleetwood Town beat Chesterfield 1–0. Bawler's model had Fleetwood Town in front at 40% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.5 goals; only 1 was scored. Fleetwood Town had 5 shots (2 on target) to Chesterfield's 15 (1), with 29% of the ball against 71%. On expected goals it was 0.6 to 1.1, so Chesterfield created the better chances and still lost the game.

What was the final score in Fleetwood Town vs Chesterfield?

Fleetwood Town 1–0 Chesterfield, played on 08 Aug 2026 in the ENGLAND: EFL Cup. Bawler's model had gone into it with Fleetwood Town 40%, the draw 28% and Chesterfield 32%.

What were the stats in Fleetwood Town vs Chesterfield?

Full-time: Possession 29%–71%, Expected goals (xG) 0.6–1.1, Shots 5–15, Shots on target 2–1, Shots inside box 3–10, Big chances 1–2, Corners 7–9, Saves 1–1, Fouls 21–8, Offsides 0–2, Yellow cards 3–2.

Did both teams score in Fleetwood Town vs Chesterfield?

No. It finished 1–0, so Chesterfield failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 50% before kickoff.

Was Bawler's prediction for Fleetwood Town vs Chesterfield right?

Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Result — we said Fleetwood Town 40%, it finished Fleetwood Town (40% called); Total goals — we said 2.5, it finished 1; Both teams to score — we said 50%, it finished No; Model call — we said Fleetwood Town or Draw 68%, it finished Landed; Second call — we said Over 2.5 Goals 52%, it finished Missed.

Around this fixture

Chesterfield
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