Bawler's pick
4 legs, built by our modelAn open game: both sides to score, with Nacho Ferri and Borja Sainz both getting shots away.
Feyenoord Rotterdam v FC Porto prediction
Our model can barely split these two: Feyenoord Rotterdam are given 37%, FC Porto 37%, and a draw is 26%. If you want one score, our predicted score is Feyenoord Rotterdam 1–2 FC Porto, the most likely FC Porto win (8%). Feyenoord Rotterdam are expected to score 1.5 goals and FC Porto 1.5, 3.0 between them. Both sides are more likely than not to score (60%) and three or more goals is 57%.
On form, Feyenoord Rotterdam have one win, two draws and three defeats from their last six games, and FC Porto have five wins, no draws and one defeat. We expect Feyenoord Rotterdam to have 13.8 shots (4.2 on target) and FC Porto 14.7 (4.2 on target), and corners at 4.3 to 4.6.
Of their last two meetings on our records, Feyenoord Rotterdam and FC Porto have one win each. The last meeting ended FC Porto 3–2 Feyenoord, in Dec 2019. Borja Sainz (FC Porto) is the player we expect to shoot most, with 2.5 shots if they start. Nacho Ferri (Feyenoord Rotterdam) leads for shots on target, at 1.1. Bart Nieuwkoop of Feyenoord Rotterdam is the most booked player in either squad, once every 2 games in 2025/26. Bawler's pick combines Both Teams to Score, Over 23.5 Total Shots, Nacho Ferri 1+ Shot and Borja Sainz 1+ Shot. We make the chance of all four coming in 45%, a fair price of 5/4 (2.23).
Written from the numbers on this page. These are forecasts, not certainties. 18+ Please gamble responsibly. BeGambleAware.org
Players to watch
Numbers are if they start — lineups land about an hour before kickoff.
Most on target
Shots on target we expectMost booked
Games per booking, from their latest season — a record, not a forecastWhat we expect from each side
The grey number is their average over the last six.
More chances
Feyenoord Rotterdam · last 6
FC Porto · last 6
League position
Head to head
First half — what we expect
First-half chances
How likely each side is to reach these totals before half-time.
Second half — who scores?
At half-time we update each side’s chance of scoring in the second half from what the first half showed.
What would change the call
FC Porto or draw is 63% now. Here is what it would become at half-time:
Based on the half-time score alone — team news is not included.
Player forecasts
Shots we expect from each player if they start — lineups land about an hour before kickoff. From 2025/26–2026/27, all club matches.
1 in 3 = booked about once every three games last time out — a record, not a forecast. Players with fewer minutes are pulled toward the league average, so a small sample never reads as a certainty.
Around this fixture
Eredivisie table →Liga Portugal table →Common questions
Who will win Feyenoord Rotterdam vs FC Porto?
Bawler's model rates this match: FC Porto are favoured (37% win probability vs 37% for Feyenoord Rotterdam, 26% draw). The model uses each side’s expected goals, recent form and the strength of the opposition.
What is the predicted score for Feyenoord Rotterdam vs FC Porto?
Bawler's predicted score is Feyenoord Rotterdam 1-2 FC Porto: the most likely score if FC Porto win, which is the likeliest result (37%). Our model puts that exact score at 8.3%. Expected total goals: 3.0.
How does Bawler predict Feyenoord Rotterdam vs FC Porto?
Bawler estimates each side's expected goals from its results and the quality of its chances, adjusted for the strength of the opposition and for home advantage, then works out the chance of every scoreline to get win, draw and both-teams-to-score probabilities. Team news and lineups are not built into these numbers. For this match that gives Feyenoord Rotterdam 37%, the draw 26% and FC Porto 37%. Every prediction is published before kickoff and settled afterwards.
Will both teams score in Feyenoord Rotterdam vs FC Porto?
Probably — Bawler's model gives both teams scoring a 60% chance. That is based on Feyenoord Rotterdam expecting 1.47 goals and FC Porto 1.49.
Over or under 2.5 goals in Feyenoord Rotterdam vs FC Porto?
Bawler's model expects 3.0 goals in total. It leans slightly towards three or more goals: over 2.5 goals is 57%.
When are the Feyenoord Rotterdam v FC Porto line-ups announced?
Clubs usually name their line-ups about an hour before kickoff.
What is Bawler's pick for Feyenoord Rotterdam v FC Porto?
Both Teams to Score (60%), Over 23.5 Total Shots (80%), Nacho Ferri 1+ Shot (85%), Borja Sainz 1+ Shot (88%). Our model gives all 4 landing together a 45% chance, a fair price of 5/4 (2.23). 18+, please gamble responsibly.