FT · Netherlands: Eredivisie · Sunday, 08 November 2026
Heerenveen 5–3 Feyenoord RotterdamMatch recap · Sunday, 08 November 2026
How Bawler's pick did
Bawler's pickLost
Feyenoord Rotterdam or Draw✗
Feyenoord Rotterdam Over 11.5 Shots✗
Nacho Ferri 1+ Shot on Target✓
Logged before kickoff, settled from the final stats. Bawler's pick record →
Pre-match probability vs result
Heerenveen win
25%
Result
Draw
23%
Feyenoord Rotterdam win
52%
Goals we expected vs goals scored
Our forecast
1.3 – 2.0
Total 3.3
Actual
5 – 3
Total 8 (+4.7 against our forecast)
Chances created (xG)
1.9 – 1.2
From the match itself
The match produced 4.7 more goals than we forecast. That can be sharp finishing, set pieces or attacking quality we under-rated.