FT · Netherlands: Eredivisie · Sunday, 08 November 2026
FC Utrecht 2–3 NEC NijmegenMatch recap · Sunday, 08 November 2026
How Bawler's pick did
Bawler's pickLost
Both Teams to Score✓
Over 24.5 Total Shots✓
Ángel Alarcon 1+ Shot✗
Tjaronn Chery 1+ Shot✓
Logged before kickoff, settled from the final stats. Bawler's pick record →
Pre-match probability vs result
FC Utrecht win
41%
Draw
25%
NEC Nijmegen win
34%
Result
Goals we expected vs goals scored
Our forecast
1.7 – 1.5
Total 3.2
Actual
2 – 3
Total 5 (+1.8 against our forecast)
Chances created (xG)
2.0 – 2.3
From the match itself
The match produced 1.8 more goals than we forecast. That can be sharp finishing, set pieces or attacking quality we under-rated.