FT · World: International Friendly · Saturday, 14 November 2026

Ecuador 2–0 Costa RicaMatch recap · Saturday, 14 November 2026

Ecuador
2–0
Ecuador win
Costa Rica

How Bawler's pick did

Bawler's pickWon
Ecuador or Draw✓
Ecuador Over 13.5 Shots✓
Ecuador Over 3.5 Shots on Target✓
Ecuador Over 4.5 Corners✓

Logged before kickoff, settled from the final stats. Bawler's pick record →

Pre-match probability vs result

Ecuador win
74%
Result
Draw
19%
Costa Rica win
7%

Goals we expected vs goals scored

Our forecast
2.1 – 0.5
Total 2.6
Actual
2 – 0
Total 2 (−0.6 against our forecast)
Chances created (xG)
1.7 – 0.6
From the match itself

The match produced about as many goals as we forecast — within 0.6 of our 2.6.

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