Cyprus vs Latvia prediction — UEFA Nations League · Mon 5 Oct · 17:00 UK

UEFA Nations League · Mon 5 Oct · 17:00 UK
53Cyprus win27Draw20Latvia win
Full time
2–1

How it finished

Cyprus beat Latvia 2–1. Cyprus had 19 shots (7 on target) to Latvia's 12 (1), with 61% of the ball against 39%. Expected goals finished 2.1 to 0.7.

CyprusFull-time statsLatvia
61%Possession39%
2.1Expected goals (xG)0.7
19Shots12
7Shots on target1
12Shots inside box8
4Big chances1
7Corners3
0Saves5
10Fouls8
2Offsides1
2Yellow cards3
We predicted
1–0
Cyprus to win · 14% for this exact score
Expected goals
1.5v0.9
2.4 in total
Both teams score
45%
Leans no
3+ goals
43%
Leans unlikely

What we expected from each side

The grey number is their average over the last six.

CyprusCyprusLatviaLatvia
1.5Goals0.9
CyprusCyprusLatviaLatvia
0.7Goals0.4
CyprusCyprusLatviaLatvia
0.9Goals0.5

Shots and corners are not shown for this match — one of these national teams has too few recorded games for us to forecast them.

What we said the chances were

Cyprus to score79%
3 goals or fewer78%
2 or more goals69%
Goal before half-time65%

First half — what we expected

Cyprus
49%
to score before half-time
Latvia
32%
to score before half-time

Shots and corners are not shown for international matches yet — national teams play too few games for us to forecast them well.

Head to head

Mar 2024Cyprus 1–1 Latvia
Full-time recap →
Every Bawler's pick is logged before kickoff · Bawler's pick record →

Around this fixture

All fixtures & results →Cyprus form →Latvia form →

Common questions

Who won Cyprus vs Latvia?

Cyprus beat Latvia 2–1. Cyprus had 19 shots (7 on target) to Latvia's 12 (1), with 61% of the ball against 39%. Expected goals finished 2.1 to 0.7.

What was the final score in Cyprus vs Latvia?

Cyprus 2–1 Latvia, played on 05 Oct 2026 in the Europe: UEFA Nations League. Bawler's model had gone into it with Cyprus 53%, the draw 27% and Latvia 20%.

What were the stats in Cyprus vs Latvia?

Full-time: Possession 61%–39%, Expected goals (xG) 2.1–0.7, Shots 19–12, Shots on target 7–1, Shots inside box 12–8, Big chances 4–1, Corners 7–3, Saves 0–5, Fouls 10–8, Offsides 2–1, Yellow cards 2–3.

Did both teams score in Cyprus vs Latvia?

Yes — both Cyprus and Latvia scored, finishing 2–1. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 45% before kickoff.