How it finished
England beat Croatia 7–0. Croatia had 12 shots (1 on target) to England's 19 (10), with 36% of the ball against 64%. Expected goals finished 1.4 to 6.1.
What we expected from each side
The grey number is their average over the last six.
Shots and corners are not shown for this match — one of these national teams has too few recorded games for us to forecast them.
What we said the chances were
First half — what we expected
Shots and corners are not shown for international matches yet — national teams play too few games for us to forecast them well.
Head to head
Around this fixture
Common questions
Who won Croatia vs England?
England beat Croatia 7–0. Croatia had 12 shots (1 on target) to England's 19 (10), with 36% of the ball against 64%. Expected goals finished 1.4 to 6.1.
What was the final score in Croatia vs England?
Croatia 0–7 England, played on 03 Oct 2026 in the Europe: UEFA Nations League. Bawler's model had gone into it with Croatia 18%, the draw 21% and England 62%.
What were the stats in Croatia vs England?
Full-time: Possession 36%–64%, Expected goals (xG) 1.4–6.1, Shots 12–19, Shots on target 1–10, Shots inside box 5–16, Big chances 1–11, Corners 1–6, Saves 3–1, Fouls 10–6, Offsides 0–2, Yellow cards 1–0.
Did both teams score in Croatia vs England?
No. It finished 0–7, so Croatia failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 59% before kickoff.