Bawler's pick
3 legs, built by our modelCaykur Rizespor on top: we expect them to avoid defeat and do most of the shooting.
Caykur Rizespor v Kasimpasa prediction
Our model makes Caykur Rizespor favourites for this Süper Lig game, giving them a 47% chance of winning. Kasimpasa are 26% and the draw is 27%. If you want one score, our predicted score is Caykur Rizespor 1–0 Kasimpasa, the most likely Caykur Rizespor win (11%). We expect 2.6 goals in total: 1.6 for Caykur Rizespor and 1.1 for Kasimpasa. Both sides are more likely than not to score (52%) and three or more goals is 49%.
Of the players, Adrian Benedyczak (Kasimpasa) tops both our lists, with 2.3 shots and 1.1 on target expected if they start. Elson Mendes of Kasimpasa is the most booked player in either squad, once every 2 games in 2026/27. We expect Caykur Rizespor to have 18.7 shots (5.2 on target) and Kasimpasa 10.1 (3.1 on target), and corners at 6.1 to 3.6. That points to Caykur Rizespor doing more of the attacking.
In their last six games Caykur Rizespor have one win, two draws and three defeats, while Kasimpasa have three wins, two draws and one defeat. Both won their most recent match. Bawler's pick combines Caykur Rizespor or Draw, Caykur Rizespor Over 14.5 Shots and Caykur Rizespor Over 2.5 Shots on Target. We make the chance of all three coming in 53%, a fair price of 10/11 (1.90).
Written from the numbers on this page. These are forecasts, not certainties. 18+ Please gamble responsibly. BeGambleAware.org
Players to watch
Numbers are if they start — lineups land about an hour before kickoff.
Most booked
Games per booking, from their latest season — a record, not a forecastWhat we expect from each side
The grey number is their average over the last six.
More chances
Caykur Rizespor · last 6
Kasimpasa · last 6
League position
First half — what we expect
First-half chances
How likely each side is to reach these totals before half-time.
Second half — who scores?
At half-time we update each side’s chance of scoring in the second half from what the first half showed.
What would change the call
Caykur Rizespor or draw is 74% now. Here is what it would become at half-time:
Based on the half-time score alone — team news is not included.
Player forecasts
Shots we expect from each player if they start — lineups land about an hour before kickoff. From 2025/26–2026/27, all club matches.
1 in 3 = booked about once every three games last time out — a record, not a forecast. Players with fewer minutes are pulled toward the league average, so a small sample never reads as a certainty.
Around this fixture
Süper Lig table →Common questions
Who will win Caykur Rizespor vs Kasimpasa?
Bawler's model rates this match: Caykur Rizespor are favoured (47% win probability vs 26% for Kasimpasa, 27% draw). The model uses each side’s expected goals, recent form and the strength of the opposition.
What is the predicted score for Caykur Rizespor vs Kasimpasa?
Bawler's predicted score is Caykur Rizespor 1-0 Kasimpasa: the most likely score if Caykur Rizespor win, which is the likeliest result (47%). Our model puts that exact score at 10.9%. Expected total goals: 2.6.
How does Bawler predict Caykur Rizespor vs Kasimpasa?
Bawler estimates each side's expected goals from its results and the quality of its chances, adjusted for the strength of the opposition and for home advantage, then works out the chance of every scoreline to get win, draw and both-teams-to-score probabilities. Team news and lineups are not built into these numbers. For this match that gives Caykur Rizespor 47%, the draw 27% and Kasimpasa 26%. Every prediction is published before kickoff and settled afterwards.
Will both teams score in Caykur Rizespor vs Kasimpasa?
Probably — Bawler's model gives both teams scoring a 52% chance. That is based on Caykur Rizespor expecting 1.55 goals and Kasimpasa 1.08.
Over or under 2.5 goals in Caykur Rizespor vs Kasimpasa?
Bawler's model expects 2.6 goals in total. It leans slightly towards two goals or fewer: over 2.5 goals is 49%.
When are the Caykur Rizespor v Kasimpasa line-ups announced?
Clubs usually name their line-ups about an hour before kickoff.
What is Bawler's pick for Caykur Rizespor v Kasimpasa?
Caykur Rizespor or Draw (74%), Caykur Rizespor Over 14.5 Shots (77%), Caykur Rizespor Over 2.5 Shots on Target (85%). Our model gives all 3 landing together a 53% chance, a fair price of 10/11 (1.90). 18+, please gamble responsibly.