Bawler's pick
3 legs, built by our modelKasimpasa on top, with Adrian Benedyczak our likeliest to test the keeper.
Kasimpasa v Alanyaspor prediction
Our model makes Kasimpasa favourites for this Süper Lig game, giving them a 52% chance of winning. Alanyaspor are 21% and the draw is 27%. Our predicted score is Kasimpasa 1–0 Alanyaspor (13%), though no one exact score is likely on its own. We expect 2.4 goals in total: 1.5 for Kasimpasa and 0.9 for Alanyaspor. There is a 46% chance both sides score and three or more goals is 44%.
In their last six games Kasimpasa have three wins, two draws and one defeat, while Alanyaspor have one win, two draws and three defeats. Kasimpasa won their most recent match and Alanyaspor lost theirs. We expect Kasimpasa to have 12.8 shots (3.7 on target) and Alanyaspor 10.4 (3.2 on target), and corners at 4.2 to 3.7.
Kamil Cörekci of Kasimpasa is the most booked player in either squad, once every 2 games in 2025/26. Bawler's pick combines Kasimpasa or Draw, Kasimpasa Over 8.5 Shots and Adrian Benedyczak 1+ Shot on Target. We make the chance of all three coming in 49%, a fair price of Evens (2.04).
Written from the numbers on this page. These are forecasts, not certainties. 18+ Please gamble responsibly. BeGambleAware.org
Players to watch
Most booked
Games per booking, from their latest season — a record, not a forecastWhat we expect from each side
The grey number is their average over the last six.
More chances
Kasimpasa · last 6
Alanyaspor · last 6
League position
First half — what we expect
First-half chances
How likely each side is to reach these totals before half-time.
Second half — who scores?
At half-time we update each side’s chance of scoring in the second half from what the first half showed.
What would change the call
Kasimpasa or draw is 79% now. Here is what it would become at half-time:
Based on the half-time score alone — team news is not included.
Around this fixture
Süper Lig table →Common questions
Who will win Kasimpasa vs Alanyaspor?
Bawler's model rates this match: Kasimpasa are favoured (52% win probability vs 21% for Alanyaspor, 27% draw). The model uses each side’s expected goals, recent form and the strength of the opposition.
What is the predicted score for Kasimpasa vs Alanyaspor?
Bawler's predicted score is Kasimpasa 1-0 Alanyaspor: the most likely score if Kasimpasa win, which is the likeliest result (52%). Our model puts that exact score at 13.4%. Expected total goals: 2.4.
How does Bawler predict Kasimpasa vs Alanyaspor?
Bawler estimates each side's expected goals from its results and the quality of its chances, adjusted for the strength of the opposition and for home advantage, then works out the chance of every scoreline to get win, draw and both-teams-to-score probabilities. Team news and lineups are not built into these numbers. For this match that gives Kasimpasa 52%, the draw 27% and Alanyaspor 21%. Every prediction is published before kickoff and settled afterwards.
Will both teams score in Kasimpasa vs Alanyaspor?
Probably not — Bawler's model gives both teams scoring a 46% chance, so at least one side is more likely than not to keep a clean sheet. That is based on Kasimpasa expecting 1.55 goals and Alanyaspor 0.89.
Over or under 2.5 goals in Kasimpasa vs Alanyaspor?
Bawler's model expects 2.4 goals in total. It leans slightly towards two goals or fewer: over 2.5 goals is 44%.
When are the Kasimpasa v Alanyaspor line-ups announced?
Clubs usually name their line-ups about an hour before kickoff.
What is Bawler's pick for Kasimpasa v Alanyaspor?
Kasimpasa or Draw (79%), Kasimpasa Over 8.5 Shots (83%), Adrian Benedyczak 1+ Shot on Target (65%). Our model gives all 3 landing together a 49% chance, a fair price of Evens (2.04). 18+, please gamble responsibly.