Burton Albion vs Blackburn Rovers prediction — EFL Cup · Sat 8 Aug · 15:00 UK

EFL Cup · Sat 8 Aug · 15:00 UK
Burton Albion 40Draw 28Blackburn Rovers 32
The call
68%
Burton Albion or draw
2.5
Goals expected
Full time
Final 1–2

How it finished

Blackburn Rovers beat Burton Albion 2–1. Bawler's model favoured Burton Albion at 40% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave Blackburn Rovers 32%. It forecast 2.5 goals and the match produced 3. Burton Albion had 17 shots (7 on target) to Blackburn Rovers' 27 (7), with 36% of the ball against 64%. Expected goals finished 1.6 to 3.6.

Burton AlbionFull-time statsBlackburn…
36%Possession64%
1.6Expected goals (xG)3.6
17Shots27
7Shots on target7
12Shots inside box20
3Big chances5
6Corners9
5Saves5
12Fouls14
0Offsides2
2Yellow cards1
What we publishedBeforeAfter
ResultBurton Albion 40%Blackburn Rovers (32% called)
Total goals2.53
Both teams to score50%Yes
Model callBurton Albion or Draw 68%Missed
Second callOver 2.5 Goals 52%Landed

Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.

What we expected

MarketProbability
Under 3.5 goals76%
Burton Albion to score74%
Over 1.5 goals71%
Blackburn Rovers to score69%

Model inputs

Expected goals gap (xG)+0.2 / match
Opponent strength indexLower mid
Full-time recap →
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Common questions

Who won Burton Albion vs Blackburn Rovers?

Blackburn Rovers beat Burton Albion 2–1. Bawler's model favoured Burton Albion at 40% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave Blackburn Rovers 32%. It forecast 2.5 goals and the match produced 3. Burton Albion had 17 shots (7 on target) to Blackburn Rovers' 27 (7), with 36% of the ball against 64%. Expected goals finished 1.6 to 3.6.

What was the final score in Burton Albion vs Blackburn Rovers?

Burton Albion 1–2 Blackburn Rovers, played on 08 Aug 2026 in the ENGLAND: EFL Cup. Bawler's model had gone into it with Burton Albion 40%, the draw 28% and Blackburn Rovers 32%.

What were the stats in Burton Albion vs Blackburn Rovers?

Full-time: Possession 36%–64%, Expected goals (xG) 1.6–3.6, Shots 17–27, Shots on target 7–7, Shots inside box 12–20, Big chances 3–5, Corners 6–9, Saves 5–5, Fouls 12–14, Offsides 0–2, Yellow cards 2–1.

Did both teams score in Burton Albion vs Blackburn Rovers?

Yes — both Burton Albion and Blackburn Rovers scored, finishing 1–2. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 50% before kickoff.

Was Bawler's prediction for Burton Albion vs Blackburn Rovers right?

Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Result — we said Burton Albion 40%, it finished Blackburn Rovers (32% called); Total goals — we said 2.5, it finished 3; Both teams to score — we said 50%, it finished Yes; Model call — we said Burton Albion or Draw 68%, it finished Missed; Second call — we said Over 2.5 Goals 52%, it finished Landed.

Around this fixture

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