FT · France: Ligue 1 · Sunday, 08 November 2026
Brest 2–0 LyonMatch recap · Sunday, 08 November 2026
How Bawler's pick did
Bawler's pickLost
Both Teams to Score✗
Over 22.5 Total Shots✓
Mama Baldé 1+ Shot✗
Ernest Nuamah 1+ ShotDidn't start, so this leg was droppedDropped
Logged before kickoff, settled from the final stats on the legs left in play. Bawler's pick record →
Pre-match probability vs result
Brest win
38%
Result
Draw
26%
Lyon win
35%
Goals we expected vs goals scored
Our forecast
1.5 – 1.4
Total 2.9
Actual
2 – 0
Total 2 (−0.9 against our forecast)
Chances created (xG)
1.9 – 0.6
From the match itself
The match produced 0.9 fewer goals than we forecast. That can be wasteful finishing, strong goalkeeping or chances we over-rated.