Bawler's pick
3 legs, built by our modelToo close to call the result, so we back the game to be busy: shots, corners and efforts on target.
Alanyaspor v Konyaspor prediction
Our model only just leans towards Alanyaspor here: 39% to win, with Konyaspor on 33% and the draw on 28%. Our predicted score is Alanyaspor 1–0 Konyaspor: the most likely score if Alanyaspor win, at 10%. Alanyaspor are expected to score 1.4 goals and Konyaspor 1.2, 2.6 between them. Both teams scoring is 53% and three or more goals comes in at 48%.
Of their last five meetings on our records, Alanyaspor have won five, Konyaspor none. When they last met, it finished Alanyaspor 2–1 Konyaspor, in Feb 2026. On form, Alanyaspor have one win, one draw and four defeats from their last six games, and Konyaspor have one win, two draws and three defeats.
İbrahim Kaya is the player we expect to shoot most: 2.5 shots and 1.0 on target for Alanyaspor, if they start. For cards, Adil Demirbağ (Konyaspor) has been booked once every 2 games in 2026/27, more often than anyone else here. On shots, our forecast is 14.8 for Alanyaspor and 13.3 for Konyaspor, with 4.7 and 3.9 on target, and corners at 5.9 to 3.8. Bawler's pick for this game is Over 23.5 Total Shots, Over 6.5 Total Corners and Over 5.5 Total Shots on Target. Our model gives all three landing together a 64% chance, which makes the fair price 4/7 (1.56).
Written from the numbers on this page. These are forecasts, not certainties. 18+ Please gamble responsibly. BeGambleAware.org
Players to watch
Numbers are if they start — lineups land about an hour before kickoff.
Most booked
Games per booking, from their latest season — a record, not a forecastWhat we expect from each side
The grey number is their average over the last six.
More chances
Alanyaspor · last 6
Konyaspor · last 6
League position
Head to head
First half — what we expect
First-half chances
How likely each side is to reach these totals before half-time.
Second half — who scores?
At half-time we update each side’s chance of scoring in the second half from what the first half showed.
What would change the call
Alanyaspor or draw is 67% now. Here is what it would become at half-time:
Based on the half-time score alone — team news is not included.
Player forecasts
Shots we expect from each player if they start — lineups land about an hour before kickoff. From 2025/26–2026/27, all club matches.
1 in 3 = booked about once every three games last time out — a record, not a forecast. Players with fewer minutes are pulled toward the league average, so a small sample never reads as a certainty.
Around this fixture
Süper Lig table →Common questions
Who will win Alanyaspor vs Konyaspor?
Bawler's model rates this match: Alanyaspor are favoured (39% win probability vs 33% for Konyaspor, 28% draw). The model uses each side’s expected goals, recent form and the strength of the opposition.
What is the predicted score for Alanyaspor vs Konyaspor?
Bawler's predicted score is Alanyaspor 1-0 Konyaspor: the most likely score if Alanyaspor win, which is the likeliest result (39%). Our model puts that exact score at 9.9%. Expected total goals: 2.6.
How does Bawler predict Alanyaspor vs Konyaspor?
Bawler estimates each side's expected goals from its results and the quality of its chances, adjusted for the strength of the opposition and for home advantage, then works out the chance of every scoreline to get win, draw and both-teams-to-score probabilities. Team news and lineups are not built into these numbers. For this match that gives Alanyaspor 39%, the draw 28% and Konyaspor 33%. Every prediction is published before kickoff and settled afterwards.
Will both teams score in Alanyaspor vs Konyaspor?
Probably — Bawler's model gives both teams scoring a 53% chance. That is based on Alanyaspor expecting 1.36 goals and Konyaspor 1.24.
Over or under 2.5 goals in Alanyaspor vs Konyaspor?
Bawler's model expects 2.6 goals in total. It leans slightly towards two goals or fewer: over 2.5 goals is 48%.
When are the Alanyaspor v Konyaspor line-ups announced?
Clubs usually name their line-ups about an hour before kickoff.
What is Bawler's pick for Alanyaspor v Konyaspor?
Over 23.5 Total Shots (78%), Over 6.5 Total Corners (82%), Over 5.5 Total Shots on Target (84%). Our model gives all 3 landing together a 64% chance, a fair price of 4/7 (1.56). 18+, please gamble responsibly.