Besiktas on top, and Dusan Vlahovic getting plenty of shots away.
Our model gives Konyaspor 24%, the draw 26% and Besiktas 51%, so Besiktas start as favourites. Our predicted score is Konyaspor 0–1 Besiktas: the most likely score if Besiktas win, at 10%. We expect 2.8 goals in total: 1.1 for Konyaspor and 1.7 for Besiktas. Both sides are more likely than not to score (54%) and three or more goals is 53%.
We expect Konyaspor to have 12.0 shots (3.6 on target) and Besiktas 16.5 (4.4 on target), and corners at 4.7 to 5.3. That points to Besiktas doing more of the attacking. Of their last five meetings on our records, Konyaspor have won two, Besiktas three. The last meeting ended Beşiktaş 0–1 Konyaspor, in May 2026.
In their last six games Konyaspor have one win, two draws and three defeats, while Besiktas have two wins, two draws and two defeats. Both lost their most recent match. Riechedly Bazoer of Konyaspor is the most booked player in either squad, once every 2 games in 2025/26. Bawler's pick combines Besiktas or Draw, Besiktas Over 12.5 Shots and Dusan Vlahovic 2+ Shots. We make the chance of all three coming in 49%, a fair price of Evens (2.03).
Written from the numbers on this page. These are forecasts, not certainties. 18+ Please gamble responsibly. BeGambleAware.org
The grey number is their average over the last six.
How likely each side is to reach these totals before half-time.
At half-time we update each side’s chance of scoring in the second half from what the first half showed.
Besiktas or draw is 76% now. Here is what it would become at half-time:
Based on the half-time score alone — team news is not included.
Bawler's model rates this match: Besiktas are favoured (51% win probability vs 24% for Konyaspor, 26% draw). The model uses each side’s expected goals, recent form and the strength of the opposition.
Bawler's predicted score is Konyaspor 0-1 Besiktas: the most likely score if Besiktas win, which is the likeliest result (51%). Our model puts that exact score at 10.3%. Expected total goals: 2.8.
Bawler estimates each side's expected goals from its results and the quality of its chances, adjusted for the strength of the opposition and for home advantage, then works out the chance of every scoreline to get win, draw and both-teams-to-score probabilities. Team news and lineups are not built into these numbers. For this match that gives Konyaspor 24%, the draw 26% and Besiktas 51%. Every prediction is published before kickoff and settled afterwards.
Probably — Bawler's model gives both teams scoring a 54% chance. That is based on Konyaspor expecting 1.09 goals and Besiktas 1.69.
Bawler's model expects 2.8 goals in total. It leans slightly towards three or more goals: over 2.5 goals is 53%.
Clubs usually name their line-ups about an hour before kickoff.
Besiktas or Draw (76%), Besiktas Over 12.5 Shots (78%), Dusan Vlahovic 2+ Shots (76%). Our model gives all 3 landing together a 49% chance, a fair price of Evens (2.03). 18+, please gamble responsibly.