Bawler's pick
4 legs, built by our modelAn open game: both sides to score, with Musa Barrow and Youssef En-Nesyri both getting shots away.
Al Khaleej v Al Ittihad prediction
Al Ittihad are favourites on our numbers: 45% to win, against 31% for Al Khaleej and 25% for a draw. If you want one score, our predicted score is Al Khaleej 1–2 Al Ittihad, the most likely Al Ittihad win (9%). Our expected goals are 1.4 for Al Khaleej and 1.8 for Al Ittihad, 3.2 in all. Both teams scoring is 63% and three or more goals is 62%.
For cards, Dion Lopy (Al Ittihad) has been booked once every 2 games in 2026/27, more often than anyone else here. In their last six games Al Khaleej have three wins, two draws and one defeat, while Al Ittihad have four wins, one draw and one defeat. Al Khaleej won their most recent match and Al Ittihad drew theirs.
Of their last five meetings on our records, Al Khaleej have won none, Al Ittihad two, and three were drawn. When they last met, it finished Al Ittihad 1–0 Al Khaleej, in Feb 2026. On shots, our forecast is 11.6 for Al Khaleej and 15.2 for Al Ittihad, with 4.2 and 5.5 on target, and corners at 4.4 to 5.7. So we expect Al Ittihad to do more of the shooting. For Bawler's pick we have gone with Both Teams to Score, Over 22.5 Total Shots, Musa Barrow 1+ Shot and Youssef En-Nesyri 1+ Shot. The chance all four land is 48% on our numbers, so the fair price is 11/10, or 2.08.
Written from the numbers on this page. These are forecasts, not certainties. 18+ Please gamble responsibly. BeGambleAware.org
Players to watch
Most booked
Games per booking, from their latest season — a record, not a forecastWhat we expect from each side
The grey number is their average over the last six.
More chances
Al Khaleej · last 6
Al Ittihad · last 6
League position
Head to head
First half — what we expect
First-half chances
How likely each side is to reach these totals before half-time.
Second half — who scores?
At half-time we update each side’s chance of scoring in the second half from what the first half showed.
What would change the call
Al Ittihad or draw is 69% now. Here is what it would become at half-time:
Based on the half-time score alone — team news is not included.
Around this fixture
Saudi Pro League table →Common questions
Who will win Al Khaleej vs Al Ittihad?
Bawler's model rates this match: Al Ittihad are favoured (45% win probability vs 31% for Al Khaleej, 25% draw). The model uses each side’s expected goals, recent form and the strength of the opposition.
What is the predicted score for Al Khaleej vs Al Ittihad?
Bawler's predicted score is Al Khaleej 1-2 Al Ittihad: the most likely score if Al Ittihad win, which is the likeliest result (45%). Our model puts that exact score at 9.0%. Expected total goals: 3.2.
How does Bawler predict Al Khaleej vs Al Ittihad?
Bawler estimates each side's expected goals from its results and the quality of its chances, adjusted for the strength of the opposition and for home advantage, then works out the chance of every scoreline to get win, draw and both-teams-to-score probabilities. Team news and lineups are not built into these numbers. For this match that gives Al Khaleej 31%, the draw 25% and Al Ittihad 45%. Every prediction is published before kickoff and settled afterwards.
Will both teams score in Al Khaleej vs Al Ittihad?
Probably — Bawler's model gives both teams scoring a 63% chance. That is based on Al Khaleej expecting 1.43 goals and Al Ittihad 1.75.
Over or under 2.5 goals in Al Khaleej vs Al Ittihad?
Bawler's model expects 3.2 goals in total. It leans towards three or more goals: over 2.5 goals is 62%.
When are the Al Khaleej v Al Ittihad line-ups announced?
Clubs usually name their line-ups about an hour before kickoff.
What is Bawler's pick for Al Khaleej v Al Ittihad?
Both Teams to Score (63%), Over 22.5 Total Shots (76%), Musa Barrow 1+ Shot (90%), Youssef En-Nesyri 1+ Shot (88%). Our model gives all 4 landing together a 48% chance, a fair price of 11/10 (2.08). 18+, please gamble responsibly.