Al Hilal vs Al Ahli prediction — Saudi Pro League · Tue 1 Sept · 19:00 UK

Saudi Pro League · Tue 1 Sept · 19:00 UK
Al Hilal 49Draw 27Al Ahli 24
Our call before kickoff
76%
Al Hilal or draw
Landed
2.6
Goals expected
Full time
Final 3–0
Goal before half-time (before kick-off)
74%
Both teams score (before kick-off)
51%
3+ goals (before kick-off)
48%

How it finished

Al Hilal beat Al Ahli 3–0. Bawler's model had Al Hilal in front at 49% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.6 goals and the match produced 3. Al Hilal had 12 shots (6 on target) to Al Ahli's 13 (2), with 56% of the ball against 44%. Expected goals finished 2.0 to 1.3.

Al HilalFull-time statsAl Ahli
56%Possession44%
2.0Expected goals (xG)1.3
12Shots13
6Shots on target2
7Shots inside box10
3Big chances2
3Corners4
1Saves3
14Fouls9
2Offsides0
2Yellow cards5
0Red cards1
What we publishedBeforeAfter
Our callAl Hilal or draw 76%Al Hilal won (49% called)
Total goals2.63
Both teams to score51%No

Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.

What we expected

What we expected before kickoff.

Al HilalAl Ahli
1.6
Goals+0.5
1.0
8.8
Shots+2.8
6.0
3.2
On target+1.1
2.1
4.1
Corners+1.1
3.0
Al HilalAl Ahli
0.6
Goals+0.2
0.4
4.3
Shots+1.6
2.7
1.5
On target+0.5
1.0
1.9
Corners+0.5
1.4
Al HilalAl Ahli
1.0
Goals+0.4
0.6
4.5
Shots+1.2
3.2
1.6
On target+0.5
1.1
2.2
Corners+0.6
1.6

Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.

Our numbers, most likely first

What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.

MarketProbability
Al Hilal to score79%
Over 1.5 goals74%
Under 3.5 goals73%
Al Ahli to score65%

First half — what we expected

Al Hilal
57%
to score before half-time
Al Ahli
40%
to score before half-time

Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 74%

Al HilalAl Ahli
4.31st-half shots2.7
1.51st-half shots on target1.0
1.91st-half corners1.4

First-half chances

73%Chance of 3+ shots47%
42%Chance of 5+ shots18%
74%Chance of 1+ shots on target59%
21%Chance of 3+ shots on target10%
80%Chance of 1+ corners70%
31%Chance of 3+ corners19%

How the match splits

1st half2nd half
Shots · Al Hilal4.34.5
Shots · Al Ahli2.73.2
Shots on target · Al Hilal1.51.6
Shots on target · Al Ahli1.01.1
Corners · Al Hilal1.92.2
Corners · Al Ahli1.41.6
How to read this

First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).

Model inputs

Expected goals gap (home minus away)+0.5 / match
Head-to-head, last 5Al Hilal 0 · Draws 3 · Al Ahli 2
Al Ahli in their league tableUpper half

Head to head

Mar 2026Al Ahli 1–1 Al Hilal
Feb 2026Al Hilal 0–0 Al Ahli
Sept 2025Al Ahli 3–3 Al Hilal
Apr 2025Al Hilal 1–3 Al Ahli
Feb 2025Al Hilal 2–3 Al Ahli
Full-time recap →
Settles publicly at full time · Bitcoin-anchored · verify →

Common questions

Who won Al Hilal vs Al Ahli?

Al Hilal beat Al Ahli 3–0. Bawler's model had Al Hilal in front at 49% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.6 goals and the match produced 3. Al Hilal had 12 shots (6 on target) to Al Ahli's 13 (2), with 56% of the ball against 44%. Expected goals finished 2.0 to 1.3.

What was the final score in Al Hilal vs Al Ahli?

Al Hilal 3–0 Al Ahli, played on 01 Sept 2026 in the SAUDI ARABIA: Saudi Pro League. Bawler's model had gone into it with Al Hilal 49%, the draw 27% and Al Ahli 24%.

What were the stats in Al Hilal vs Al Ahli?

Full-time: Possession 56%–44%, Expected goals (xG) 2.0–1.3, Shots 12–13, Shots on target 6–2, Shots inside box 7–10, Big chances 3–2, Corners 3–4, Saves 1–3, Fouls 14–9, Offsides 2–0, Yellow cards 2–5, Red cards 0–1.

Did both teams score in Al Hilal vs Al Ahli?

No. It finished 3–0, so Al Ahli failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 51% before kickoff.

Was Bawler's prediction for Al Hilal vs Al Ahli right?

Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Al Hilal or draw 76%, it finished Al Hilal won (49% called); Total goals — we said 2.6, it finished 3; Both teams to score — we said 51%, it finished No.

Around this fixture

Saudi Pro League table →
All fixtures & results →Al Hilal form →Al Ahli form →