Al Hilal beat Al Ahli 3–0. Bawler's model had Al Hilal in front at 49% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.6 goals and the match produced 3. Al Hilal had 12 shots (6 on target) to Al Ahli's 13 (2), with 56% of the ball against 44%. Expected goals finished 2.0 to 1.3.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 74%
First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).
Al Hilal beat Al Ahli 3–0. Bawler's model had Al Hilal in front at 49% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.6 goals and the match produced 3. Al Hilal had 12 shots (6 on target) to Al Ahli's 13 (2), with 56% of the ball against 44%. Expected goals finished 2.0 to 1.3.
Al Hilal 3–0 Al Ahli, played on 01 Sept 2026 in the SAUDI ARABIA: Saudi Pro League. Bawler's model had gone into it with Al Hilal 49%, the draw 27% and Al Ahli 24%.
Full-time: Possession 56%–44%, Expected goals (xG) 2.0–1.3, Shots 12–13, Shots on target 6–2, Shots inside box 7–10, Big chances 3–2, Corners 3–4, Saves 1–3, Fouls 14–9, Offsides 2–0, Yellow cards 2–5, Red cards 0–1.
No. It finished 3–0, so Al Ahli failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 51% before kickoff.
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Al Hilal or draw 76%, it finished Al Hilal won (49% called); Total goals — we said 2.6, it finished 3; Both teams to score — we said 51%, it finished No.