11 Jun – 19 Jul 2026 · USA · Canada · Mexico
Bawler's model forecast every match of the first 48-team World Cup — a full prediction per game, each logged before kickoff and settled publicly, win or lose. The tournament is over. Final record: 68% high-confidence accuracy across 104 settled matches.
Tournament complete
Bawler forecast every match the same way it forecasts a Premier League game: the model produced a full scoreline distribution, then its calls ranked by confidence. For national teams there's no week-to-week club form data, so strength was anchored on FIFA rankings plus recent form — a deliberately honest approach, and one reason international tournaments are harder to model than leagues. Read the full World Cup method.
Every World Cup prediction was logged before kickoff with a tamper-evident hash and settled automatically — it all landed on the public track record, so you can see exactly how the model did across the tournament.