11 Jun – 19 Jul 2026 · USA · Canada · Mexico

World Cup 2026 predictions

Bawler's model forecast every match of the first 48-team World Cup — a full prediction per game, each logged before kickoff and settled publicly, win or lose. The tournament is over. Final record: 68% high-confidence accuracy across 104 settled matches.

48
teams
12
groups of 4
104
matches
Jul 19
final

Tournament complete

The record is in

Every settled prediction, match by match →
The model's high-confidence call was right 68% of the time across 104 settled matches — every prediction logged before kickoff and settled in public, win or lose. See the full breakdown on how we did, the final supercomputer forecast, or the model's ongoing public record as club football returns.

How Bawler covered the World Cup

Bawler forecast every match the same way it forecasts a Premier League game: the model produced a full scoreline distribution, then its calls ranked by confidence. For national teams there's no week-to-week club form data, so strength was anchored on FIFA rankings plus recent form — a deliberately honest approach, and one reason international tournaments are harder to model than leagues. Read the full World Cup method.

Every World Cup prediction was logged before kickoff with a tamper-evident hash and settled automatically — it all landed on the public track record, so you can see exactly how the model did across the tournament.