Bawler / World: World Cup / South Africa
Team profile · World: World Cup

South Africa Prediction

Form, fixtures and every settled pick · updated 13 August 2026

Matches
7
7 settled
Goals for
1.06
Expected, per match
Goals against
1.35
Expected, per match
High-confidence accuracy
57%
4/7 calls

South Africa prediction: Bawler's model rates South Africa at 1.06 expected goals scored and 1.35 conceded per match across 7 settled fixtures, and its high-confidence calls on them have been correct 57% of the time. Their last 5 settled matches read 2W 1D 2L. No South Africa fixture falls inside the next 30 days — the next one will be forecast here as soon as it is scheduled. Full form, recent scoring and defending trend and every settled prediction are below.

South Africa sit close to the World Cup average on both sides of the ball, creating 1.06 expected goals a game and conceding 1.35. Their finishing has lagged the chances they make — 0.71 goals a game against 1.06 expected. Across 7 settled fixtures the model's high-confidence calls on South Africa have been correct 57% of the time.

Form pulse

The last 5 settled results, most recent first.

Record
2W 2D 3L
Real goals
0.7 – 1.0
For / against, per match

Attack vs defence

How South Africa compare with the World: World Cup average, per match.

Goals for
1.06
Below average
Goals against
1.35
Tighter than most
Scored1.06
Conceded1.35

The grey line on each bar is the World: World Cup average (1.33 scored, 1.38 conceded).

What the data says
Misfiring in attack
Averaging 1.06 xG per match · -0.27 above the World: World Cup average of 1.33.

📊 South Africa in numbers

4 competitive matches · friendlies excluded
0.5
Goals · per game
let in 1.0
🏠 0.5✈️ 0.5
2.5
Corners · per game
give up 5.0
🏠 2.5
9.5
Shots · per game
faced 10.0
🏠 9.5
2.5
On target · per game
faced 5.0
🏠 2.5
🗓️ Last 4 games
28 Jun
0-1
vs Canada
🚩 1-4
25 Jun
1-0
vs South Korea
🚩 4-6
18 Jun
1-1
@ Czechia
🚩 -
11 Jun
0-2
@ Mexico
🚩 -

Real counted numbers, updated daily · see them working on today's tips →

Model accuracy on South Africa matches
57%
of high-confidence calls correct, over 7

When the model makes a high-confidence call on a South Africa fixture, it is right 4 out of 7 (57%). Every prediction is logged before kickoff and settled publicly.

Model accuracy on South Africa by market
Goals (Over/Under)50%2/4
Result67%2/3

How to read this: each row groups settled high-confidence calls the model made on South Africa fixtures by market type, so you can see where the model has the strongest read on this team. Higher hit rate = more reliable category for South Africa matches.

Recent matches (last 7)

South Africa prediction markets

More from Bawler

Model estimates from rolling expected goals · every prediction logged before kickoff and settled publicly