Egypt vs South Africa prediction — International friendlies · Sun 4 Oct · 19:00 UK · Neutral venue

International friendlies · Sun 4 Oct · 19:00 UK · Neutral venue
58Egypt win26Draw16South Africa win
Full time
0–1

How it finished

South Africa beat Egypt 1–0. Egypt had 19 shots (6 on target) to South Africa's 7 (3), with 61% of the ball against 39%. On expected goals it was 1.2 to 0.8, so Egypt created the better chances and still lost the game.

EgyptFull-time statsSouth Africa
61%Possession39%
1.2Expected goals (xG)0.8
19Shots7
6Shots on target3
12Shots inside box2
1Big chances1
8Corners1
2Saves6
8Fouls10
3Offsides1
2Yellow cards4
We predicted
1–0
Egypt to win · 15% for this exact score
Expected goals
1.6v0.7
2.3 in total
Both teams score
41%
Leans no
3+ goals
42%
Leans unlikely

What we expected from each side

The grey number is their average over the last six.

EgyptEgyptSouth AfricaSouth Africa
1.6Goals0.7
EgyptEgyptSouth AfricaSouth Africa
0.7Goals0.3
EgyptEgyptSouth AfricaSouth Africa
0.9Goals0.4

Shots and corners are not shown for this match — one of these national teams has too few recorded games for us to forecast them.

What we said the chances were

Egypt to score80%
3 goals or fewer79%
2 or more goals68%
Goal before half-time65%

First half — what we expected

Egypt
51%
to score before half-time
South Africa
27%
to score before half-time

Shots and corners are not shown for international matches yet — national teams play too few games for us to forecast them well.

Head to head

Dec 2025Egypt 1–0 South Africa
Jul 2019Egypt 0–1 South Africa
Sept 2016South Africa 1–0 Egypt
Full-time recap →
Every Bawler's pick is logged before kickoff · Bawler's pick record →

Common questions

Who won Egypt vs South Africa?

South Africa beat Egypt 1–0. Egypt had 19 shots (6 on target) to South Africa's 7 (3), with 61% of the ball against 39%. On expected goals it was 1.2 to 0.8, so Egypt created the better chances and still lost the game.

What was the final score in Egypt vs South Africa?

Egypt 0–1 South Africa, played on 04 Oct 2026 in the World: International Friendly. Bawler's model had gone into it with Egypt 58%, the draw 26% and South Africa 16%.

What were the stats in Egypt vs South Africa?

Full-time: Possession 61%–39%, Expected goals (xG) 1.2–0.8, Shots 19–7, Shots on target 6–3, Shots inside box 12–2, Big chances 1–1, Corners 8–1, Saves 2–6, Fouls 8–10, Offsides 3–1, Yellow cards 2–4.

Did both teams score in Egypt vs South Africa?

No. It finished 0–1, so Egypt failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 41% before kickoff.