Bawler / World: World Cup / Morocco
Team profile · World: World Cup

Morocco Prediction

Form, fixtures and every settled pick · updated 13 August 2026

Matches
10
10 settled
Goals for
1.48
Expected, per match
Goals against
1.30
Expected, per match
High-confidence accuracy
90%
9/10 calls

Morocco prediction: Bawler's model rates Morocco at 1.48 expected goals scored and 1.30 conceded per match across 10 settled fixtures, and its high-confidence calls on them have been correct 90% of the time. They have won 3 of their last 5 settled matches. No Morocco fixture falls inside the next 30 days — the next one will be forecast here as soon as it is scheduled. Full form, recent scoring and defending trend and every settled prediction are below.

Morocco sit close to the World Cup average on both sides of the ball, creating 1.48 expected goals a game and conceding 1.30. They have been finishing above their chances, scoring 1.80 a game against 1.48 expected. Recent form is good, with 3 wins in their last 5. Across 10 settled fixtures the model's high-confidence calls on Morocco have been correct 90% of the time.

Form pulse

The last 5 settled results, most recent first.

Record
5W 4D 1L
Real goals
1.8 – 0.9
For / against, per match

Attack vs defence

How Morocco compare with the World: World Cup average, per match.

Goals for
1.48
Above average
Goals against
1.30
Tighter than most
Scored1.48
Conceded1.30

The grey line on each bar is the World: World Cup average (1.33 scored, 1.38 conceded).

What the data says
Strong in attack
Averaging 1.48 xG per match · +0.16 above the World: World Cup average of 1.33.
Model is strongest on: Result
High-confidence calls in this market are correct 100% of the time on Morocco fixtures (4/4).

📊 Morocco in numbers

6 competitive matches · friendlies excluded
1.7
Goals · per game
let in 1.0
🏠 4.0✈️ 1.2
5.0
Corners · per game
give up 4.8
🏠 9.0✈️ 3.7
11.0
Shots · per game
faced 11.8
🏠 22.0✈️ 7.3
4.5
On target · per game
faced 3.3
🏠 11.0✈️ 2.3
🗓️ Last 6 games
09 Jul
0-2
@ France
🚩 5-5
04 Jul
3-0
@ Canada
🚩 1-11
30 Jun
1-1
@ Netherlands
🚩 -
24 Jun
4-2
vs Haiti
🚩 9-1
19 Jun
1-0
@ Scotland
🚩 5-2
13 Jun
1-1
@ Brazil
🚩 -

Real counted numbers, updated daily · see them working on today's tips →

Model accuracy on Morocco matches
90%
of high-confidence calls correct, over 10

When the model makes a high-confidence call on a Morocco fixture, it is right 9 out of 10 (90%). This is well above the cross-league baseline of ~65%. Every prediction is logged before kickoff and settled publicly.

Model accuracy on Morocco by market
Goals (Over/Under)83%5/6
Result100%4/4

How to read this: each row groups settled high-confidence calls the model made on Morocco fixtures by market type, so you can see where the model has the strongest read on this team. Higher hit rate = more reliable category for Morocco matches.

Recent matches (last 10)

Morocco prediction markets

More from Bawler

Model estimates from rolling expected goals · every prediction logged before kickoff and settled publicly