Bawler's pick
3 legs, built by our modelTottenham Hotspur on top, and Omar Marmoush getting plenty of shots away.
Tottenham Hotspur v Ipswich Town prediction
Our model makes Tottenham Hotspur favourites for this Premier League game, giving them a 55% chance of winning. Ipswich Town are 20% and the draw is 24%. Our predicted score is Tottenham Hotspur 1–0 Ipswich Town, the likeliest Tottenham Hotspur win score (11%). Tottenham Hotspur are expected to score 1.8 goals and Ipswich Town 1.0, 2.8 between them. Both teams scoring is 53% and three or more goals is 53%.
On shots, our forecast is 15.8 for Tottenham Hotspur and 12.6 for Ipswich Town, with 4.7 and 4.1 on target, and corners at 6.1 to 4.6. So we expect Tottenham Hotspur to do more of the shooting. In their last six games Tottenham Hotspur have three wins, one draw and two defeats, while Ipswich Town have one win, two draws and three defeats. Tottenham Hotspur lost their most recent match and Ipswich Town drew theirs.
Of their last three meetings on our records, Tottenham Hotspur have won two, Ipswich Town one. When they last met, it finished Ipswich Town 1–4 Tottenham Hotspur, in Feb 2025. For Bawler's pick we have gone with Tottenham Hotspur or Draw, Tottenham Hotspur Over 11.5 Shots and Omar Marmoush 2+ Shots. The chance all three land is 51% on our numbers, so the fair price is Evens, or 1.97.
Written from the numbers on this page. These are forecasts, not certainties. 18+ Please gamble responsibly. BeGambleAware.org
Players to watch
Numbers are if they start — lineups land about an hour before kickoff.
Most shots
Shots we expect them to takeMost on target
Shots on target we expectMost booked
Games per booking, from their latest season — a record, not a forecastWhat we expect from each side
The grey number is their average over the last six.
More chances
Tottenham Hotspur · last 6
Ipswich Town · last 6
League position
Head to head
First half — what we expect
First-half chances
How likely each side is to reach these totals before half-time.
Second half — who scores?
At half-time we update each side’s chance of scoring in the second half from what the first half showed.
What would change the call
Tottenham Hotspur or draw is 80% now. Here is what it would become at half-time:
Based on the half-time score alone — team news is not included.
Player forecasts
Shots we expect from each player if they start — lineups land about an hour before kickoff. From 2025/26–2026/27, all club matches.
1 in 3 = booked about once every three games last time out — a record, not a forecast. Players with fewer minutes are pulled toward the league average, so a small sample never reads as a certainty.
Around this fixture
Premier League table →Common questions
Who will win Tottenham Hotspur vs Ipswich Town?
Bawler's model rates this match: Tottenham Hotspur are favoured (55% win probability vs 20% for Ipswich Town, 24% draw). The model uses each side’s expected goals, recent form and the strength of the opposition.
What is the predicted score for Tottenham Hotspur vs Ipswich Town?
Bawler's predicted score is Tottenham Hotspur 1-0 Ipswich Town: the most likely score if Tottenham Hotspur win, which is the likeliest result (55%). Our model puts that exact score at 10.7%. Expected total goals: 2.8.
How does Bawler predict Tottenham Hotspur vs Ipswich Town?
Bawler estimates each side's expected goals from its results and the quality of its chances, adjusted for the strength of the opposition and for home advantage, then works out the chance of every scoreline to get win, draw and both-teams-to-score probabilities. Team news and lineups are not built into these numbers. For this match that gives Tottenham Hotspur 55%, the draw 24% and Ipswich Town 20%. Every prediction is published before kickoff and settled afterwards.
Will both teams score in Tottenham Hotspur vs Ipswich Town?
Probably — Bawler's model gives both teams scoring a 53% chance. That is based on Tottenham Hotspur expecting 1.81 goals and Ipswich Town 1.01.
Over or under 2.5 goals in Tottenham Hotspur vs Ipswich Town?
Bawler's model expects 2.8 goals in total. It leans slightly towards three or more goals: over 2.5 goals is 53%.
When are the Tottenham Hotspur v Ipswich Town line-ups announced?
Clubs usually name their line-ups about an hour before kickoff.
What is Bawler's pick for Tottenham Hotspur v Ipswich Town?
Tottenham Hotspur or Draw (80%), Tottenham Hotspur Over 11.5 Shots (80%), Omar Marmoush 2+ Shots (73%). Our model gives all 3 landing together a 51% chance, a fair price of Evens (1.97). 18+, please gamble responsibly.