FT · England: Premier League · Saturday, 07 November 2026
Leeds United 1–0 Tottenham HotspurMatch recap · Saturday, 07 November 2026
Pre-match probability vs result
Leeds United win
45%
Result
Draw
27%
Tottenham Hotspur win
28%
Goals we expected vs goals scored
Our forecast
1.5 – 1.1
Total 2.6
Actual
1 – 0
Total 1 (−1.6 against our forecast)
Chances created (xG)
2.0 – 0.8
From the match itself
The match produced 1.6 fewer goals than we forecast. That can be wasteful finishing, strong goalkeeping or chances we over-rated.