How it finished
Reading beat Stevenage 3–0. Bawler's model favoured Stevenage at 43% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave Reading 31%. It forecast 2.8 goals and the match produced 3. Stevenage had 13 shots (3 on target) to Reading's 10 (5), with 57% of the ball against 43%. Expected goals finished 0.7 to 1.7.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Shots and corners are not shown for this fixture — we do not have enough counted matches for these sides yet.
Our numbers, most likely first
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
No first-half forecast for this fixture.
Model inputs
Head to head
Common questions
Who won Stevenage vs Reading?
Reading beat Stevenage 3–0. Bawler's model favoured Stevenage at 43% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave Reading 31%. It forecast 2.8 goals and the match produced 3. Stevenage had 13 shots (3 on target) to Reading's 10 (5), with 57% of the ball against 43%. Expected goals finished 0.7 to 1.7.
What was the final score in Stevenage vs Reading?
Stevenage 0–3 Reading, played on 25 Aug 2026 in the ENGLAND: EFL Cup. Bawler's model had gone into it with Stevenage 43%, the draw 26% and Reading 31%.
What were the stats in Stevenage vs Reading?
Full-time: Possession 57%–43%, Expected goals (xG) 0.7–1.7, Shots 13–10, Shots on target 3–5, Shots inside box 8–8, Big chances 3–4, Corners 5–5, Saves 2–4, Fouls 6–13, Offsides 2–1, Yellow cards 2–2.
Did both teams score in Stevenage vs Reading?
No. It finished 0–3, so Stevenage failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 57% before kickoff.
Was Bawler's prediction for Stevenage vs Reading right?
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Stevenage or draw 69%, it finished Reading won (31% called); Total goals — we said 2.8, it finished 3; Both teams to score — we said 57%, it finished No; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 77%, it finished Landed; Second pick — we said Over 2.5 goals 53%, it finished Landed.