Pre-match, Bawler had Shamrock Rovers at 41%, draw at 28%, KuPS Kuopio at 31%. Against expectation, the match finished 1-1. The model's headline call was Shamrock Rovers to win.
Match underperformed xG by 0.6 goals. Below-expectation scoring — could be wasteful finishing, strong goalkeeping, or low-quality chances the model over-rated.