FT · Europe: Champions League · Tuesday, 13 October 2026
Sabah FK 2–0 Slavia PragueMatch recap & how our call landed · Tuesday, 13 October 2026
Our call before kickoff
Our call missed
Before kickoff our call was Slavia Prague or draw at 67%. Bawler had Sabah FK at 33%, the draw at 23% and Slavia Prague at 44%. The match finished 2–0.
Pre-match probability vs result
Sabah FK win
33%
Result
Draw
23%
Slavia Prague win
44%
Goals we expected vs goals scored
Our forecast
1.6 – 1.9
Total 3.5
Actual
2 – 0
Total 2 (−1.5 against our forecast)
Chances created (xG)
1.5 – 2.0
From the match itself
The match produced 1.5 fewer goals than we forecast. That can be wasteful finishing, strong goalkeeping or chances we over-rated.
Every graded pick · and how it landed
Graded pick · high confidence
Over 1.5 goals
Pre-match: 86%
Landed
Outside shot
Draw
Pre-match: 23%
Missed
Each pick's figure is the one published with it before kickoff. It comes from a separate calculation, so a pick on the result can show a different number from the win/draw/win split above.