Russia vs Iran prediction — International friendlies · Tue 29 Sept · 17:00 UK · Neutral venue

International friendlies · Tue 29 Sept · 17:00 UK · Neutral venue
47Russia win26Draw27Iran win
Our call before kickoff
73%
Russia or draw
Landed
Full time
Final 2–0

How it finished

Russia beat Iran 2–0. Bawler's model had Russia in front at 47% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.9 goals; only 2 were scored. Russia had 12 shots (5 on target) to Iran's 8 (3), with 67% of the ball against 33%. Expected goals finished 0.5 to 0.4.

RussiaFull-time statsIran
67%Possession33%
0.5Expected goals (xG)0.4
12Shots8
5Shots on target3
2Shots inside box3
1Big chances0
5Corners5
3Saves3
11Fouls17
3Offsides1
1Yellow cards2
What we publishedBeforeAfter
Our callRussia or draw 73%Russia won (47% called)
Total goals2.92
Both teams to score57%No
Graded pickOver 1.5 goals 78%Landed
Second pickOver 2.5 goals 55%Missed

Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.

What we said the chances were

Russia to score81%
2 or more goals78%
Goal before half-time72%
Iran to score70%
3 goals or fewer67%
Both teams score57%
3 or more goals55%

What we expected from each side

The grey number is their average over the last six.

RussiaRussiaIranIran
1.7Goals1.2
RussiaRussiaIranIran
0.7Goals0.5
RussiaRussiaIranIran
0.9Goals0.7

Shots and corners are not shown for this match — one of these national teams has too few recorded games for us to forecast them. Each bar is split by each side's share of the total.

First half — what we expected

Russia
52%
to score before half-time
Iran
42%
to score before half-time

Shots and corners are not shown for international matches yet — national teams play too few games for us to forecast them well.

Head to head

Oct 2025Russia 2–1 Iran
Mar 2023Iran 1–1 Russia
Oct 2017Russia 1–1 Iran
Feb 2011Russia 0–1 Iran
Full-time recap →
Settles publicly at full time · Bitcoin-anchored · verify →

Common questions

Who won Russia vs Iran?

Russia beat Iran 2–0. Bawler's model had Russia in front at 47% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.9 goals; only 2 were scored. Russia had 12 shots (5 on target) to Iran's 8 (3), with 67% of the ball against 33%. Expected goals finished 0.5 to 0.4.

What was the final score in Russia vs Iran?

Russia 2–0 Iran, played on 29 Sept 2026 in the World: International Friendly. Bawler's model had gone into it with Russia 47%, the draw 26% and Iran 27%.

What were the stats in Russia vs Iran?

Full-time: Possession 67%–33%, Expected goals (xG) 0.5–0.4, Shots 12–8, Shots on target 5–3, Shots inside box 2–3, Big chances 1–0, Corners 5–5, Saves 3–3, Fouls 11–17, Offsides 3–1, Yellow cards 1–2.

Did both teams score in Russia vs Iran?

No. It finished 2–0, so Iran failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 57% before kickoff.

Was Bawler's prediction for Russia vs Iran right?

Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Russia or draw 73%, it finished Russia won (47% called); Total goals — we said 2.9, it finished 2; Both teams to score — we said 57%, it finished No; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 78%, it finished Landed; Second pick — we said Over 2.5 goals 55%, it finished Missed.

Around this fixture

All fixtures & results →Russia form →Iran form →