FT · England: Championship · Saturday, 07 November 2026
Preston North End 1–0 SouthamptonMatch recap · Saturday, 07 November 2026
Pre-match probability vs result
Preston North End win
23%
Result
Draw
23%
Southampton win
54%
Goals we expected vs goals scored
Our forecast
1.2 – 1.9
Total 3.2
Actual
1 – 0
Total 1 (−2.2 against our forecast)
Chances created (xG)
1.3 – 1.6
From the match itself
The match produced 2.2 fewer goals than we forecast. That can be wasteful finishing, strong goalkeeping or chances we over-rated.