FT · USA: MLS · Monday, 02 November 2026
Portland Timbers 3–1 Houston Dynamo FCMatch recap · Monday, 02 November 2026
How Bawler's pick did
Bawler's pickWon
Portland Timbers or Draw✓
Portland Timbers Over 10.5 Shots✓
Kristoffer Velde 2+ Shots✓
Logged before kickoff, settled from the final stats. Bawler's pick record →
Pre-match probability vs result
Portland Timbers win
45%
Result
Draw
26%
Houston Dynamo FC win
29%
Goals we expected vs goals scored
Our forecast
1.6 – 1.2
Total 2.8
Actual
3 – 1
Total 4 (+1.2 against our forecast)
Chances created (xG)
3.3 – 0.5
From the match itself
The match produced 1.2 more goals than we forecast. That can be sharp finishing, set pieces or attacking quality we under-rated.