Plymouth Argyle vs Exeter City prediction — EFL Cup · Mon 10 Aug · 20:00 UK

EFL Cup · Mon 10 Aug · 20:00 UK
Plymouth Argyle 40Draw 28Exeter City 32
The call
68%
Plymouth Argyle or draw
3.5
Goals expected
Full time
Final 2–0

How it finished

Plymouth Argyle beat Exeter City 2–0. Bawler's model had Plymouth Argyle in front at 40% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.5 goals; only 2 were scored. Plymouth Argyle had 21 shots (6 on target) to Exeter City's 8 (1), with 63% of the ball against 37%. Expected goals finished 2.4 to 0.7.

Plymouth…Full-time statsExeter City
63%Possession37%
2.4Expected goals (xG)0.7
21Shots8
6Shots on target1
16Shots inside box6
4Big chances1
9Corners3
1Saves4
9Fouls14
2Offsides0
0Yellow cards3
0Red cards1
What we publishedBeforeAfter
ResultPlymouth Argyle 40%Plymouth Argyle (40% called)
Total goals3.52
Both teams to score50%No
Model callPlymouth Argyle or Draw 68%Landed

Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.

What we expected

MarketProbability
Over 1.5 goals86%
Plymouth Argyle to score84%
Exeter City to score81%
Over 2.5 goals68%

Model inputs

Expected goals gap (xG)+0.2 / match
Full-time recap →
Settles publicly at full time · Bitcoin-anchored · verify →

Common questions

Who won Plymouth Argyle vs Exeter City?

Plymouth Argyle beat Exeter City 2–0. Bawler's model had Plymouth Argyle in front at 40% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.5 goals; only 2 were scored. Plymouth Argyle had 21 shots (6 on target) to Exeter City's 8 (1), with 63% of the ball against 37%. Expected goals finished 2.4 to 0.7.

What was the final score in Plymouth Argyle vs Exeter City?

Plymouth Argyle 2–0 Exeter City, played on 10 Aug 2026 in the ENGLAND: EFL Cup. Bawler's model had gone into it with Plymouth Argyle 40%, the draw 28% and Exeter City 32%.

What were the stats in Plymouth Argyle vs Exeter City?

Full-time: Possession 63%–37%, Expected goals (xG) 2.4–0.7, Shots 21–8, Shots on target 6–1, Shots inside box 16–6, Big chances 4–1, Corners 9–3, Saves 1–4, Fouls 9–14, Offsides 2–0, Yellow cards 0–3, Red cards 0–1.

Did both teams score in Plymouth Argyle vs Exeter City?

No. It finished 2–0, so Exeter City failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 50% before kickoff.

Was Bawler's prediction for Plymouth Argyle vs Exeter City right?

Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Result — we said Plymouth Argyle 40%, it finished Plymouth Argyle (40% called); Total goals — we said 3.5, it finished 2; Both teams to score — we said 50%, it finished No; Model call — we said Plymouth Argyle or Draw 68%, it finished Landed.

Around this fixture

Plymouth Argyle
Next up
25 AugHCoventry City2–4 L
Exeter City
All fixtures & results →Plymouth Argyle form →Exeter City form →