How it finished
NSI Runavik and FC Lugano drew 2–2. Bawler's model favoured NSI Runavik at 40% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 28%. It forecast 3.5 goals and the match produced 4. NSI Runavik had 6 shots (4 on target) to FC Lugano's 18 (9), with 40% of the ball against 60%. Expected goals finished 1.5 to 2.5.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected
Model inputs
Common questions
Who won NSI Runavik vs FC Lugano?
NSI Runavik and FC Lugano drew 2–2. Bawler's model favoured NSI Runavik at 40% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 28%. It forecast 3.5 goals and the match produced 4. NSI Runavik had 6 shots (4 on target) to FC Lugano's 18 (9), with 40% of the ball against 60%. Expected goals finished 1.5 to 2.5.
What was the final score in NSI Runavik vs FC Lugano?
NSI Runavik 2–2 FC Lugano, played on 13 Aug 2026 in the EUROPE: Conference League - Qualification. Bawler's model had gone into it with NSI Runavik 40%, the draw 28% and FC Lugano 32%.
What were the stats in NSI Runavik vs FC Lugano?
Full-time: Possession 40%–60%, Expected goals (xG) 1.5–2.5, Shots 6–18, Shots on target 4–9, Shots inside box 4–13, Big chances 2–4, Corners 5–3, Saves 8–2, Fouls 14–14, Offsides 0–1, Yellow cards 1–0.
Did both teams score in NSI Runavik vs FC Lugano?
Yes — both NSI Runavik and FC Lugano scored, finishing 2–2. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 50% before kickoff.
Was Bawler's prediction for NSI Runavik vs FC Lugano right?
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Result — we said NSI Runavik 40%, it finished Draw (28% called); Total goals — we said 3.5, it finished 4; Both teams to score — we said 50%, it finished Yes; Model call — we said NSI Runavik or Draw 68%, it finished Landed.