FT · Europe: Conference League · Thursday, 15 October 2026

Mjällby AIF 2–0 Inter D'EscaldesMatch recap & how our call landed · Thursday, 15 October 2026

Mjällby AIF
2–0
Mjällby AIF win
Inter D'Escaldes

Our call before kickoff

Our call landed

Before kickoff our call was Mjällby AIF to win at 74%. Bawler had Mjällby AIF at 74%, the draw at 16% and Inter D'Escaldes at 10%. The match finished 2–0.

Pre-match probability vs result

Mjällby AIF win
74%
Result
Draw
16%
Inter D'Escaldes win
10%

Goals we expected vs goals scored

Our forecast
2.6 – 0.8
Total 3.4
Actual
2 – 0
Total 2 (−1.4 against our forecast)
Chances created (xG)
1.4 – 0.5
From the match itself

The match produced 1.4 fewer goals than we forecast. That can be wasteful finishing, strong goalkeeping or chances we over-rated.

Every graded pick · and how it landed

Graded pick · high confidence
Mjällby AIF to win
Pre-match: 74%
Landed
Medium confidence
Both teams to score
Pre-match: 52%
Missed

Each pick's figure is the one published with it before kickoff. It comes from a separate calculation, so a pick on the result can show a different number from the win/draw/win split above.

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